The small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis), a commercially and ecologically important fish species in East Asia, has experienced significant population declines due to overfishing, habitat degradation, and environmental changes. Understanding the spatio-temporal dynamics of this species is critical for its conservation and sustainable management. In this study, we investigated the distribution patterns of small yellow croaker in Hangzhou Bay, from 2017 to 2023, using a combination of fishery resource surveys and species distribution models. We evaluated the performance of eleven modeling algorithms to identify the most accurate model for predicting small yellow croaker distribution. Our results showed that the Random Forest algorithm outperformed other models, with high sensitivity (95.238) and specificity (99.49), demonstrating its ability to capture complex non-linear relationships between environmental factors and species distribution. Depth emerged as the most influential factor, accounting for 30% of the importance in the model, with small yellow croaker preferring deeper waters around 60m. Salinity was the second most important factor, with higher occurrence probabilities in areas where salinity exceeded 25. Other environmental factors, such as tempreture and dissolved oxygen, had relatively lower impacts on distribution. Spatially, small yellow croaker was predominantly distributed in offshore regions east of 122.5°E, where deeper waters and higher salinity levels provided suitable habitat conditions.This study underscore the need for targeted management measures, such as habitat restoration, to ensure the sustainable management of small yellow croaker populations.