Abstract Provide a summary of objectives, study design, setting, participants, sample size, predictors, outcome, statistical analysis, results, and conclusions. Introduction Explain the medical context (including whether diagnostic or prognostic) and rationale for developing or validating the multivariable prediction model, including references to existing models. Specify the objectives, including whether the study describes the development or validation of the model or both. Methods Source of data Describe the study design or source of data (e.g., randomized trial, cohort, or registry data), separately for the development and validation data sets, if applicable. Specify the key study dates, including start of accrual; end of accrual; and, if applicable, end of follow-up. Participants Specify key elements of the study setting (e.g., primary care, secondary care, general population) including number and location of centres. Describe eligibility criteria for participants. Give details of treatments received, if relevant. Outcome Clearly define the outcome that is predicted by the prediction model, including how and when assessed. Report any actions to blind assessment of the outcome to be predicted. Predictors Clearly define all predictors used in developing or validating the multivariable prediction model, including how and when they were measured. Report any actions to blind assessment of predictors for the outcome and other predictors. Sample size Explain how the study size was arrived at. Missing data Describe how missing data were handled (e.g., complete-case analysis, single imputation, multiple imputation) with details of any imputation method. Statistical analysis methods Specify type of model, all model-building procedures (including any predictor selection), and method for internal validation For validation, describe how the predictions were calculated