Assessment of Drought Impacts on Crop Yields (Corn and Soybeans) Across
Iowa During 2000 – 2022
Abstract
Agricultural drought occurs when inadequate soil moisture, caused by
prolonged precipitation deficiency, significantly reduces crop yields.
Corn and soybeans, vital to the U.S. agricultural sector and making up
90% of Iowa’s crop production, are highly vulnerable to drought. This
study quantified widely used drought indicators and their relationship
with corn and soybean yields from 2000 to 2022 to identify the most
effective indices for predicting crop productivity. Meteorological and
satellite-based drought indices, including the Standardized
Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration
Index (SPEI), Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), Evaporative Demand
Drought Index (EDDI), Crop Moisture Index (CMI), and Normalized
Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), were analyzed alongside USDA crop
yield data. Soybean yields showed strong positive correlations with
SPI-6, SPI-12, SPEI-6, and SPEI-12, indicating these indices are
reliable predictors of soybean productivity. Conversely, corn yields
were negatively correlated with EDDI, highlighting corn’s higher
susceptibility to severe drought conditions than soybeans. The Palmer
Drought Severity Index (PDSI) showed stronger correlations with soybean
yields over time, reflecting the crop’s reliance on sustained moisture.
These findings emphasize that soybeans are more resilient to longer-term
moisture deficiencies, whereas corn is more sensitive to short-term
droughts. The analysis provides valuable insights for drought relief
planning, agricultural decision-making, and proactive strategies for
managing drought impacts. The results can inform the development of
resilient farming practices and policies, ensuring sustainability in
agriculture under changing climate conditions.