Title: Potential arrival pathway for Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N1 to Oceania

Background: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is an important cause of bronchiolitis and pneumonia in children globally. This study aimed to incorporate new data to update estimates of RSV burden in children through 5 years of age in Western Pacific and Southeast Asia Regions. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to examine the proportion of RSV among cases of respiratory tract infection (RTI) in children in Western Pacific and Southeast Asia Regions using random effects models. Studies were eligible if they met the following inclusion criteria: (1) observational studies such as cohort and cross-sectional studies; (2) studies on humans; (3) studies on patients with respiratory tract infection (RTI) or influenza-like illness (ILI); (4) studies reporting incidence or proportion of RSV infection among respiratory related illness; and (5) studies on children aged 5 years or less. Findings: A total of 4,403 studies were identified from an initial search. After screening titles, abstracts, and full-text review, a total of 173 studies that met predefined eligibility criteria were included in the analysis. The overall proportion of RSV infections among all ARTIs was 18.7% (95% CI: 16.0-21.5%), while the proportion of RSV infections among LRTIs was 28.7% (95% CI: 2.6-30.3) in children in Western Pacific and Southeast Asia Regions between 1970 and 2021. The proportion trend increased from 10.6% (95% CI: 2.90-22.2%) in the 1970s to 26.8% (95% CI: 22.0-31.9%) in the 1980s and 33.3% (95% CI :14.7-55.3%) in the 1990s. It then decreased to 25.0% (95% CI 22.8-27.3%) in the 2000s and 19.7% (95% CI 17.3-22.2%) in the 2010s. By country, Myanmar (50.0%; 95% CI, 47.5-52.4%) and New Zealand (45.3%; 95% CI, 37.2-56.4%) had the highest proportion during the overall time period, followed by Bhutan (45.2%; 95% CI, 36.4-54.3%), Lao PDR (41.0%; 95% CI, 36.2-46.0%), and Vietnam (36.0%; 95% CI, 19.3-53.6%). Interpretation: Substantial RSV-associated disease burden occurs in children in Western Pacific and Southeast Asia Regions. Our findings provide new and important evidence of the need for RSV prevention in Western Pacific and Southeast Asia countries. They could inform future preventive policy.

Background: Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is a major health concern, particularly for infants. In France, Nirsevimab, a long-acting monoclonal antibody to prevent RSV-associated lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) was available from September 2023. We described RSV-associated LRTI hospitalisations during the 2023-2024 season among infants younger than six months born at the Hospices Civils de Lyon (HCL), and evaluated the effectiveness of Nirsevimab against RSV-LRTI hospitalisation. Methods: This observational study included infants born and hospitalised at the HCL during the 2023-2024 season, along with pre-COVID-19 and 2022-2023 seasons. Information on Nirsevimab immunisation status, clinical and perinatal variables were collected through routine care. Infants’ characteristics and incidence risk of hospitalisation per 100 births during 2023-2024 were compared with the historical periods overall and by delay between birth and the onset of the RSV season. Nirsevimab effectiveness was computed by the screening method. Results: During the 2023-2024 season, 83 infants younger than six months were hospitalised with an RSV-associated LRTI. Compared with the historical periods these infants were older. Incidence risk for infants born during the period when immunisation was available were lower than the previous seasons; incidence risk ratios were 0.45 (95% confidence interval (CI): [0.33;0.62]) in 2023-2024 compared with pre-COVID-19 period and 0.53 (95%CI: [0.36;0.77]) compared with 2022-2023 season. Nirsevimab effectiveness was 78.3% (95%CI: [55.9 ;89.5]) with a coverage of 79.3% in the HCL maternities. Conclusions: This study revealed a change in the epidemiology of RSV-associated LRTI hospitalisations in 2023-2024. High coverage and effectiveness were estimated in real-world setting.

Background: Household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is a driver of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Understanding factors that contribute to secondary infection rates (SIR) can define changing trends and inform public health policies. Methods: The ORegon CHild Absenteeism due to Respiratory Disease Study (ORCHARDS) prospectively monitors respiratory viruses within the Oregon School District (OSD) in southcentral Wisconsin. Households with students who had ≥2 respiratory symptoms were eligible and opted to participate in ORCHARDS. Between October 28, 2020, and May 16, 2022, all household members provided self-collected nasal specimens on days 0, 7, and 14 for SARS-CoV-2 detection using real-time reverse-transcription-polymerase chain reaction. We used logistic regression to investigate individual- and household-level characteristics associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Results: Overall, 127 households comprising 572 individuals (48% female; 52% male; 0.4% non-binary; 77% >18 years) had at least one detection of SARS-CoV-2. The overall SIR was 47% and decreased over time (pre-Delta=72% [95%CI: 58%-83%]; Delta=51% [40%-63%]; and Omicron=41% [36%-47%]. Odds of household transmission were 63% lower during the Omicron period compared to the pre-Delta period (OR=0.36 [95%CI: 0.13-0.94] P=0.037). Greater household density (members/bedroom) was significantly associated with household transmission during the Omicron period (OR=6.8, [2.19-21.37] P=0.001). Index case age, illness severity, and individual symptoms were not significantly associated with odds of household transmission. Conclusions: Greater household density was associated with higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, but the risk declined over time with subsequent variants. Interplay between variants, prior infection, and individual/household factors may identify modifiable factors (e.g., behavior, vaccination) to reduce future transmission risk.

A document by Sever Yildiz G. Click on the document to view its contents.

not-yet-known not-yet-known not-yet-known unknown We estimated XBB.1.5 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection among adults aged ≥65 years during the 2023/24 JN.1 lineage-predominant period in a European multi-country test-negative case-control study at primary care level. We estimated VE adjusted by study site, age, sex, chronic conditions and onset date. We included 220 cases and 1733 controls. The VE was 48% (95% CI: 12–71), 23% (95% CI: -11–48) and 5% (95% CI: -92–56) among those with symptom onset 1–5 , 6–11, and ≥12 weeks after vaccination, respectively. XBB.1.5 vaccine provided short and moderate protection against JN.1 symptomatic infection.

Background: During the 2022-23 season, three autonomous communities recommended influenza vaccination for all children between 6 and 59 months. The objective is to evaluate the adverse effects associated with the administered influenza vaccines in the Region of Murcia, as well as their influence on the recommendation of the same to acquaintances or repetition in future seasons. Material and methods: Cross-sectional descriptive study with an online questionnaire sent to the parents of vaccinated minors of 6-23 months of age receiving inactivated intramuscular vaccine (IIV) or 24-59 months of age receiving live-attenuated intranasal vaccine (LAIV). Results: among 4,971 surveys received the most common adverse effect for LAIV and IIV were runny nose (40.90%) and local pain (31.94%) respectively. Sixty percent of adverse effects lasted ≤1 day, and around 10% lasted ≥3 days. The interference of adverse effects with the minor’s daily life was very infrequent (3.32%), as was the need for visiting the medical office (2.68%). Overall, 96.44% of parents would recommend influenza vaccination to friends and relatives after the experience. Only 3.56% would not recommend it, while 1.68% would not vaccinate their child against influenza again. The most frequently cited reason being adverse effects. Conclusions: Our study shows the safety of influenza vaccines. Despite the low impact of adverse effects, they influence some parents in their intention to continue vaccinating or recommending it to acquaintances, which remarks the need to reinforce the information given to parents so that this fact does not influence.

Influenza virus infection may lead to fatal complications including multi-organ failure and sepsis. The influenza virus was detected in various extra-pulmonary organs in autopsy studies during the 2009 pandemic. However, limited research has been conducted on the presence of viral particle or viral components in the peripheral blood. We established a mouse model for severe H1N1 influenza. The bile and blood samples were collected over time and inoculated into embryonated chicken eggs. We detected live influenza virus with plaque assay test and negative stain with electronic microscopy in bile and blood samples in early infection. Immunofluorescence showed influenza viral components in the liver tissue. No live virus was isolated in the bile in mice intragastrically administered with influenza virus, indicating that the virus was spread from the blood stream. Targeted metabolomics analysis of bile acid and liver tissues showed that a secondary bile acid (3-dehydrocholic acid) was decreased after influenza H1N1 infection. Genes related with fatty acid metabolism and bile secretion pathways were down-regulated in liver after influenza virus infection. Our study indicated that influenza virus viremia is present in severe influenza, and that the liver is a target organ for influenza viral sepsis.

Background Older adults in nursing and care homes (NCHs) are vulnerable to severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection, hospitalisation, and death. This study aimed to gather data on RSV disease among older adults in NCHs and identify reported risk factors for RSV hospitalisation and case fatality. Methods The study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42022371908). We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE and Global Health databases to identify articles published between 2000 and 2023. Observational and experimental studies conducted among older adults in NCHs requiring assistive care and reporting RSV illness were included and relevant data were extracted. Results Of 18,690 studies screened, 32 were selected for full-text review and 20 were included. Overall, the number of NCH residents ranged from 42 to 1,459 with a mean age between 67.6 and 85 years. Attack rates ranged from 6.7 – 47.6% and annual incidence ranged from 0.5 – 14%. Case fatality rates ranged from 7.7 – 23.1%. We found similar annual incidence rates of RSV-positive acute respiratory infection (ARI) of 4,582 (95% CI: 3,259 – 6,264) and 4,785 (95% CI: 2,258 – 10,141) per 100,000 reported in two studies. Annual incidence rate of RSV-positive lower respiratory tract infection was 3,040 (95% CI: 1,986 – 4,454) cases per 100,000 adults. Annual RSV-ARI hospital admission rates were between 600 (95% CI: 190 -10,000) and 1,104 (95% CI: 350 – 1,930) per 100,000 person-years. Among all RSV disease cases, commonly reported chronic medical conditions included chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), heart failure, ischemic heart disease, coronary artery disease, hypertension, diabetes, kidney dysfunction, cerebrovascular accident, malignancies, dementia, and those with a Charlson comorbidity score > 6.5. Conclusion Data on RSV infection among NCH residents are limited and largely heterogeneous but document a high risk of illness, frequent hospitalisation, and high mortality. Preventive interventions, such as vaccination should be considered for this high-risk population. Nationally representative epidemiologic studies and NCH-based viral pathogen surveillance could more precisely assess the burden on NCH residents.

We conducted a multicentre test-negative case-control study covering the period from October 2023 to January 2024 among adult patients aged ≥18 years hospitalised with severe acute respiratory infection in Europe. We provide early estimates of the effectiveness of the newly adapted XBB.1.5 COVID-19 vaccines against PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 hospitalisation. Vaccine effectiveness was 48% overall, ranging between 68% at 14–29 days and 40% at 60–105 days post vaccination. The adapted XBB.1.5 COVID-19 vaccines conferred protection against COVID-19 hospitalisation in the first 3.5 months post vaccination, with VE >70% in older adults (≥65 years) up to 1 month post vaccination.

Adenovirus, a common respiratory pathogen, has witnessed a notable rise in incidence rates across various regions in Pakistan. Utilizing epidemiological data and climate records, this research discerns a potential linkage between the burgeoning adenovirus cases and alterations in regional climate patterns. Through statistical analysis and modeling techniques, the study aims to elucidate the relationship between climatic variables such as temperature, humidity, and precipitation, and the prevalence of adenovirus infections. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for developing effective public health interventions and preparedness strategies to mitigate the impact of adenovirus outbreaks in Pakistan. Furthermore, this research contributes to the broader discourse on the intersection of infectious diseases and climate change, highlighting the need for comprehensive adaptive measures to address emerging health challenges in a changing environment.

Background. Surveillance programmes for influenza and other respiratory pathogens are important to generate vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates and to inform vaccine composition. We aimed to explore the feasibility and acceptability of home-based testing. Methods In 3/9 provinces in South Africa, we established a self-referral system for individuals aged ≥18 years with respiratory symptoms of ≤10 days duration. Following electronic consent, swab collection material was delivered to participants who also completed a questionnaire including self-reported vaccination status. Swabs were tested by PCR for influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and SARS-CoV-2. A test negative methodology was used to estimate influenza VE. Results Of 1456 samples collected between 1 December 2021 and 31 August 2022, 73 (5%) tested positive for influenza, 38 (3%) tested positive for RSV and 394 (27%) for SARS-CoV-2. We subtyped 55% (40/73) of the influenza positive specimens; 16/40 (40%) were influenza A (A(H1N1)pdm09; 10/40 (25%)A (H3N2)) and all 14/40(35%) influenza B were B/Victoria. Only 20% (279/1451) of participants reported influenza-like illness case definition symptoms of fever and cough. Influenza vaccine coverage was 11% (157/1454). The overall influenza VE was 26% (95% confidence interval, -73%;69%). Of the completed acceptability questionnaires, 123/127 (97%) participants would make use of the service again. 36% (46/127) of enrolled participants were recruited through the testing centre’s webpage and 13% (17/127) through social media. Conclusions Home-based swabbing was feasible and acceptable. We were able to calculate an influenza VE, although a large sample size and verification of vaccine status may improve the VE estimate in the future.

Background The newly emerged SARS-CoV-2 possesses shared antigenic epitopes with other human coronaviruses. We investigated if COVID-19 vaccination or SARS-CoV-2 infection may boost cross-reactive antibodies to other human coronaviruses. Methods Pre- and post-vaccination sera from SARS-CoV-2 naïve healthy subjects who received three doses of the mRNA vaccine (BioNTech, BNT) or the inactivated vaccine (CoronaVac, CV) were used to monitor the level of cross-reactive antibodies raised against other human coronaviruses by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. In comparison, convalescent sera from COVID-19 patients with or without prior vaccination history were also tested. Pseudoparticle neutralization assay was performed to detect neutralization antibody against MERS-CoV. Results Among SARS-CoV-2 infection naïve subjects, BNT or CV significantly increased the anti-S2 antibodies against Betacoronaviruses (OC43 and MERS-CoV) but not Alphacoronaviruses (229E). The pre-vaccination antibody response to the common cold human coronaviruses did not negatively impact the post-vaccination antibody response to SARS-CoV-2. Cross-reactive antibodies that binds to the S2 protein of MERS-CoV were similarly detected from the convalescent sera of COVID-19 patients with or without vaccination history. However, these anti-S2 antibodies do not possess neutralizing activity in MERS-CoV pseudoparticle neutralisation tests. Conclusions Our results suggest that SARS-CoV-2 infection or vaccination may potentially modulate population immune landscape against previously exposed or novel human coronaviruses. The findings have implications for future sero-epidemiological studies on MERS-CoV.

Background: Compelling evidence suggests associations between influenza infection and thromboembolism (TE) events. Risk factors related to the outcomes of severe influenza-complicated TE in intensive care unit (ICU) patients remain unknown. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted, recruiting consecutive patients with thromboembolism (TE) events admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) between December 2015 through December 2018 at our institution in Taiwan. A study cohort of patients with severe influenza (n=108) and a control group of patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (n=192) were included. Associations between complicated TE, length of ICU stay, 90-day mortality were evaluated. Results: Thromboembolism events prevalence was significantly higher in ICU patients with severe influenza than in ICU patients with severe CAP (21.3% vs. 5.7%, respectively; p<0.05). The ratio of mechanical ventilation use, length of mechanical ventilation use, ICU stay and 90-day mortality increased significantly in ICU patients with severe influenza after developing TE compared with patients without TE (all p<0.05). Influenza infection and hypertension are the risk factors for thromboembolic events in patients with severe influenza (p< 0.05). Besides, complicated TE and severity of APACHE II score are risk factors for 90-day mortality in ICU patients with severe influenza (p< 0.05). Conclusions: ICU patients with severe influenza and complicated TE have an increased risk of extended ICU stay and 90-day mortality compared to patients with severe CAP. Risk is significantly increased in patients with higher APACHE II score. this study may help define better strategies for early recognition and prevention of severe influenza-complicated TE.

A document by Mary Anissa Sinnathamby. Click on the document to view its contents.

Introduction: The aim of the study was to assess the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in the Republika Srpska, Bosnia and Herzegovina, after five waves of COVID-19 and one year after introduction of vaccination to better understand the true extent of the COVID-19 pandemic and role of vaccination in achieving herd immunity. Methods: The population-based study was conducted from December 2021 to February 2022 in a group of 4,463 individuals from the Republika Srpska. Total anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies were determined in serum specimens using the Wantai total antibody ELISA assay and Kantaro Quantitative IgG assays. Results: The overall cumulative seroprevalence was 94.6%. Of all participants, 61.3% were vaccinated against COVID-19. Significantly higher seroprevalence rates were observed among vaccinated participants. Among various professions, the highest seroprevalence was found in the service industry (98.1%), education (98.0%) and healthcare (96.9%). This study found that 2.2% of vaccinated participants, and 3.6% of individuals with SARS-CoV-2 positivity during 2021, had no detectable IgG antibodies. Both seroprevalence and antibody titres were significantly higher in people with hybrid immunity. Conclusion: Our findings reveal a 2,3-fold increase in seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies due to infection and vaccination, comparing to the first study performed one year earlier. This study provides better understanding of the SARS-CoV-2 transmission and highlights the important role of the vaccination in achieving the population immunity. Periodically conducted population-based seroprevalence studies are important for assessment of surveillance system performance and public compliance with vaccination policies. Keywords: COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, seroprevalence, population-based study, Bosnia and Herzegovina, UNITY, SEROPREV.

This retrospective study aimed to investigate the impact of the emergence of new variants and the epidemiological scenario on hospitalization rates of unvaccinated children (0-12 years) in Brazil. The study included 1,614 children admitted to a hospital between March 2020 and December 2022, with only 101 (6.3%) of them testing positive for COVID-19 via RT-PCR. The frequency of COVID-19 cases increased from 7.5% in 2020 to 9.3% in 2022 with the emergence of the Omicron variant. Children over five years old with comorbidities accounted for the majority of cases (69% [70/101]). Sickle cell anemia was the most frequent comorbidity (20%), and flu disease (36% [36/101]) and decompensation of underlying disease (33% [33/101]) were the main reasons for hospitalization. Co-infection was detected in 11% of cases, with RSV being the most common viral pathogen (71%). Hospital readmission occurred in 26% of cases, with a higher frequency in children over five years old. The death rate was 2.2%, with comorbidities such as cystic fibrosis and congenital heart disease as risk factors. These findings emphasize the need to prioritize vaccination with monovalent Omicron XBB for high-risk groups, including children over five years old with comorbidities, to mitigate the impact of new variants and reduce severe disease outcomes.

Since 2004, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Influenza Division (ID) has supported seven countries in the Eastern Mediterranean region and the World Health Organization Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean to establish and strengthen influenza surveillance. There has been substantial growth in influenza surveillance capacities in the region over two decades that demonstrates commitment by national governments to strengthen national programs and contribute to global influenza surveillance. CDC ID remains committed to continuing support to the region and supporting partners to translate surveillance data into policies and programs effectively.