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Impact of ventilation on respiratory virus transmission in college residence hall cohorts: potential for causal inference about mode of transmission
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  • T. Louis Gold,
  • Kathleen M. McPhaul,
  • Huang Lin,
  • Ryan Doughty Doughty,
  • Irina Maljkovic Berry,
  • Filbert Hong,
  • Jianyu Lai,
  • Todd J. Treangen,
  • Jelena Srebric,
  • Donald Milton
T. Louis Gold
University of Maryland School of Public Health
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Kathleen M. McPhaul
University of Maryland School of Public Health
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Huang Lin
University of Maryland School of Public Health
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Ryan Doughty Doughty
Rice University Department of Computer Science
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Irina Maljkovic Berry
Walter Reed Army Institute of Research
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Filbert Hong
University of Maryland School of Public Health
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Jianyu Lai
University of Maryland School of Public Health
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Todd J. Treangen
Rice University Department of Computer Science
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Jelena Srebric
University of Maryland Department of Mechanical Engineering
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Donald Milton
University of Maryland School of Public Health

Corresponding Author:dmilton@umd.edu

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Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic focused attention on the importance of ventilation to limit acute respiratory infection (ARI) transmission. However, because few epidemiologic studies demonstrate a causal effect of building ventilation on ARI transmission investment in solutions remains at risk. We report results of a two-year ARI study of college students living in campus residence halls with a trend toward 54% lower ARI risk with higher ventilation. Our analysis suggests that the most powerful causal analysis can be derived from focusing on roommate pairs. Future studies should prioritize enrolling roommates rather than individuals and confirm transmission events through whole genome sequencing.