Applying the resilience perspective to cultivated land utilization
systems - Evidence from main grain producing regions in China
Abstract
The investigation of the resilience of cultivated land in primary grain
producing regions, considering both natural and human characteristics,
holds significant theoretical and practical importance. We aim to
elucidate the feedback mechanism of regional cultivated land systems in
response to various pressures and coercions, and design both a
theoretical evaluation system and an econometric evaluation model of
cultivated land resilience in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River in
China. It analyses the spatial and temporal development of cultivated
land resilience from 2001 to 2020. Additionally, we use a geographic
detector to uncover the influencing mechanism of multi-dimensional
factors. The research findings indicate that the cultivated land
resilience index in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River has
experienced a general increase of 7.2%. However, it exhibits a cyclical
evolution of ”decline-recovery” in the time sequence. Additionally, the
spatial pattern of cultivated land resilience is evident, with high
values observed in the area extending from the middle to the surrounding
areas. Furthermore, there is a positive spatial correlation between
cultivated land resilience and the level of agglomeration, with a
gradual increase in the agglomeration level. The spatial heterogeneity
of cultivated land resilience is influenced by the interplay of various
factors, resulting in a two-factor enhancement that is partially
non-linear. The intensity of each factor’s role varies across different
time periods, and its significance gradually transitions from ecological
pressure to scale structure, ultimately leading to food security. It is
determined that the utilisation of cultivated land resources at the
regional scale exhibits significant environmental intricacy, temporal
fluctuations, and geographical heterogeneity. Consequently, the ensuing
ambiguity in food security emerges as a crucial matter that warrants
consideration at the national strategic level. The examination of
cultivated land resilience offers a more comprehensive framework for
identifying and diagnosing the primary deficiencies within the
cultivated land system at the regional level. This, in turn, improves
the region’s capacity to effectively address environmental changes and
mitigate development risks. Additionally, it facilitates the
establishment of an optimal spatial allocation of cultivated land
resources at the regional level, promoting sustainable and robust
development of the cultivated land system.