How vulnerable are populations of semi-aquatic insects (Odonata) to
global temperature increases?
Abstract
The thermal tolerance of a species may be exceeded by the predicted
temperature increases and thus contribute to population extinctions.
However, the impact of temperature increases is thought to vary between
climate regions, with latitude and by local climate, life history traits
and inter- and intraspecies interactions. Here, we aim to establish the
vulnerability of ectothermic insects to a warming climate by estimating
the thermal buffer, the difference between critical thermal maximum
(CTmax) and the maximum temperature of the warmest month in Ischnura
heterosticta damselflies across a 2700 km cline. We measured CTmax along
a latitudinal gradient of seventeen degrees from twenty-one populations
along the eastern coast of Australia. Our results showed that
damselflies inhabiting in tropical regions had higher CTmax than
temperate damselflies and CTmax increased with increasing temperatures
but not with decreasing latitudes as predicted. We further found that
individuals with high parasite numbers had higher CTmax, while body
size, body condition and sex had no impact on CTmax. Our projections
showed that damselfly thermal buffer will be narrower in the tropics
compared to temperate regions under a predicted 2.6°C degree annual mean
temperature increase. Therefore, damselflies in the tropics are likely
to be more vulnerable to climate change driven extinction even though
they have a relatively higher CTmax.