Severity Scale of influenza and acute respiratory illness
hospitalizations to support viral genomic surveillance: A Global
Influenza Hospital Surveillance Network pilot study
Abstract
Background: This study aimed to establish a Severity Scale for
influenza and other acute respiratory infections (ARI), requiring
hospitalization, for surveillance and research purposes (the SevScale).
Such a scale could aid the interpretation of data gathered from
disparate settings. This could facilitate pooled analyses linking viral
genetic sequencing data to clinical severity, bringing insights to
inform influenza surveillance and the vaccine strain selection process.
Methods: We used a subset of data from the Global Influenza
Hospital Surveillance Network database, including data from different
geographical areas and income levels. To quantify the underlying concept
of severity, an item response model was developed using sixteen
indicators of severity related to the hospital stay. Each patient in the
dataset was assigned a Severity Score and a Severity Category (low,
medium, or high severity). Finally, we compared the model scores across
different subgroups. Results: Data from 9 countries were
included, covering between 4 and 11 seasons from 2012 to 2022, with a
total of 96,190 ARI hospitalizations. Not for all severity indicators
data was available for all included seasons. Subgroups with a high
percentage of patients in the High Severity Category included influenza
A(H1N1)pdm09, age ≥50, lower-middle income countries, and admission
since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusions: The
initial model successfully highlighted severity disparities across
patient subgroups. Repeating this exercise with new, more complete data
would allow recalibration and validation of the current model. The
SevScale proved to be a promising method to define severity for
influenza vaccine strain selection, surveillance and research.