Increased oceanic uptake of CO­2 due to rising anthropogenic emissions has caused lowered pH levels (ocean acidification) that are hypothesized to inhibit biotic calcification and reduce the export of total alkalinity (AT) as carbonate minerals from the surface ocean. This “CO2-biotic calcification feedback” is a negative feedback on atmospheric CO2, as elevated levels of surface AT increase the ocean’s capacity to uptake CO2. We detect signatures of this feedback in the global ocean for the first time using repeat hydrographic measurements and seawater property prediction algorithms. Over the course of the past 30 years, we find an increase in global surface AT of 0.072 ± 0.023 µmol kg-1 yr-1, which would have caused approximately 20 Tmol of additional AT to accumulate in the surface ocean. This finding suggests that anthropogenic CO2 emissions are measurably perturbing the cycling of carbon on a planetary scale by disrupting biological patterns. More observations of AT would be required to understand the effects of this feedback on a regional basis and to fully characterize its potential to reduce the efficiency of marine carbon dioxide removal technology.

The oceanic storage of anthropogenic CO2 (Cant) that humans have emitted into the atmosphere has been pivotal for counteracting climate change. Yet multi-decadal trends in the ocean interior storage of Cant have not been assessed at global scale. Here, we determine storage changes of Cant by applying the eMLR(C*) regression method to ocean interior observations collected between 1989 and 2020. We find that the global ocean storage of Cant grew by 29 ± 3 Pg C dec-1 and 27 ± 3 Pg C dec-1 (±1σ) from 1994 to 2004 and 2004 to 2014, respectively. Although the two growth rates are not significantly different, they imply a reduction of the oceanic uptake fraction of the anthropogenic emissions from 36 ± 4 % to 27 ± 3 % from the first to the second decade. We attribute this reduction to a decrease of the ocean buffer capacity and changes in ocean circulation. In the Atlantic Ocean, the maximum storage rate shifted from the Northern to the Southern Hemisphere, plausibly caused by a weaker formation rate of North Atlantic Deep Waters and an intensified ventilation of mode and intermediate waters in the Southern Hemisphere. Between 1994 and 2004, the oceanic Cant accumulation exceeded the net air-sea flux by 8 ± 4 Pg C dec-1, suggesting a loss of natural carbon from the ocean during this decade. Our results reveal a substantial sensitivity of the ocean carbon sink to climate variability and change.

Year of emergence (YoE) is the year when an environment and the organisms within begin to experience significant different conditions (two times of natural variability) from the pre-industrial conditions (~1770 C.E.). This study calculates the global surface ocean YoEs for pH, partial pressure of CO(CO) and aragonite saturation (Ω) from a recent calculated surface ocean carbonate chemistry data product. The data product is calculated from the Surface Ocean CO Atlas version 6 (SOCATv6) with modeled CO changes in the global surface ocean from the ESM2M model. We find that CO, pH and Ω generally emerged from preindustrial conditions in the open ocean by the year 1950, while these properties have still not yet emerged along many ocean margins. We also find that Ω had a significantly delayed YoE compared to pH and CO. The delayed YoE for Ω is caused by its lasting sensitivity to temperature variability, which increases the natural variability experienced by organisms, and a partial cancellation of the long term acidification trend by the global warming. Together, YoEs presented here highlight that there are hotspots (open ocean) and coldspots (ocean margins that were impacted by boundary currents) for the emergence of anthropogenic signals. Continuous data collection and synthesis are needed to further examine the impact of ocean acidification on ecosystem health.

Global change is impacting the oceans in an unprecedented way with resulting changes in species distributions or species loss. There is increasing evidence that multiple environmental stressors act together to constrain species habitat more than expected from single stressor. Here, we conducted a comprehensive study of the combined impact of ocean warming and acidification (OWA) on a global distribution of pteropods, ecologically important pelagic calcifiers and an indicator species for ocean change. We co-validated three different approaches to evaluate the impact of OWA on pteropod survival and distribution. First, we used co-located physical, chemical, and biological data from oceanographic cruises and regional time-series; second, we conducted multifactorial experimental incubations using OWA to evaluate survival; and third, we validated pteropod distributions using global carbonate chemistry and observation datasets. Habitat suitability indices and global distributions suggest that a multi-stressor framework is essential for understanding distributions of this pelagic calcifier.