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Shapelet-based Method for Short-Term Voltage Stability Assessment considering Interaction Mechanisms in Multi-Infeed HVDC System
  • Yubo Sun,
  • Shuqing Zhang,
  • Chao Lu
Yubo Sun
Tsinghua University
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Shuqing Zhang
Tsinghua University

Corresponding Author:zsq@tsinghua.edu.cn

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Chao Lu
Tsinghua University
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Abstract

The short-term voltage stability (STVS) of a multi-infeed high-voltage direct current (MIHVDC) system is controlled by complex dynamic reactive power interactions that have multifactor coupling and strong time-varying characteristics. However, because of the complexity in decoupling these interactions, traditional analytical methods cannot accurately quantify their effects on stability. The STVS analysis of MIHVDC systems involves several challenges, such as high-dimensional, time-varying, and nonlinear characteristics. To address these challenges, this paper proposes an STVS evaluation method based on a multi-time-scale (MTS) interaction mechanism and time-series data mining. First, a multi-timescale interaction mechanism is proposed on the basis of dynamic responses. The short-term voltage instability process can be divided into three stages, namely, power flow transfer, dynamic reactive power regulation, and hierarchical cascade electromechanical interactions. This clarifies the accumulation and propagation mechanisms of reactive power deficiency at different timescales. Second, this paper proposes a time-series data mining method based on shapelets to solve problems in traditional STVS analysis. However, the dynamic response caused by commutation failure of the HVDC system interferes with the accuracy of time-series data mining. To solve this problem, this paper presents the optimization of the method by combining it with the dynamic mechanism and proposes the synchronous cluster of shapelets (SynCShapelet) method. In addition, the physical relationship between the shapelet and critical operating point of the dynamic load is elucidated, thus addressing the black-box problem and low confidence of machine learning methods. As demonstrated via a case study, SynCShapelet can predict the instability of the system by detecting features and incorporating the MTS interaction mechanism to preliminarily assess the path of the short-term voltage instability. In the application scenario of the STVS of MIHVDC, the proposed method provides a theoretical basis and technical support for the STVS evaluation and control strategy.
25 Jul 2025Submitted to IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution
29 Jul 2025Assigned to Editor
29 Jul 2025Submission Checks Completed
29 Jul 2025Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
05 Aug 2025Reviewer(s) Assigned
13 Sep 2025Editorial Decision: Revise Major
17 Oct 20251st Revision Received
20 Oct 2025Submission Checks Completed
20 Oct 2025Assigned to Editor
20 Oct 2025Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
20 Oct 2025Reviewer(s) Assigned
09 Nov 2025Editorial Decision: Revise Minor
15 Nov 20252nd Revision Received
17 Nov 2025Assigned to Editor
17 Nov 2025Submission Checks Completed
17 Nov 2025Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
17 Nov 2025Reviewer(s) Assigned
11 Dec 2025Editorial Decision: Revise Minor
16 Jan 20263rd Revision Received
19 Jan 2026Submission Checks Completed
19 Jan 2026Assigned to Editor
19 Jan 2026Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
19 Jan 2026Reviewer(s) Assigned
02 Mar 2026Editorial Decision: Accept