Understanding and predicting population response to anthropogenic disturbance: Current approaches and novel opportunities

Cassie N. Speakman^1,2,*, Sarah Bull³, Sarah Cubaynes², Katrina J. Davis³, Sébastien Devillard⁴, John M. Fryxell^5,6, Cara A. Gallagher⁷, Elizabeth A. McHuron⁸, Kévan Rastello⁶, Isabel M. Smallegange⁹, Roberto Salguero-Gómez³, Elsa Bonnaud¹⁰, Christophe Duchamp¹¹, Patrick Giraudoux¹², Simon Lacombe², Courtney J. Marneweck^13,14, Louis Schroll², Adrien Tableau¹¹, Sandrine Ruette^11,†, Olivier Gimenez^2,†

¹FRB-CESAB, Montpellier, France

²CEFE, Univ Montpellier, CNRS, EPHE, IRD, Montpellier, France

³Department of Biology, University of Oxford, UK

⁴Universite Claude Bernard Lyon 1, LBBE, UMR 5558, CNRS, VAS, Villeurbanne, France

⁵Department of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada

⁶Department of Biology, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada

⁷Department of Ecoscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark

⁸Cooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean, and Ecosystem Studies, University of Washington, Washington, USA

⁹School of Natural and Environmental Sciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK

¹⁰Laboratory Ecology Systematic and Evolution, UMR 8079, Université de Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France

¹¹French Biodiversity Agency (OFB), France

¹²Chrono-environment lab, University Marie and Louis Pasteur/CNRS, Besançon, France

¹³Giraffe Conservation Foundation, Windhoek, Namibia

¹⁴ Applied Behavioural Ecology ER Unit, University of South Africa, Johannesburg, South Africa

*Corresponding author

^†Co-last authors

Email addresses: Cassie.speakman@outlook.com (CNS ), sarah.bull@balliol.ox.ac.uk (SB ), sarah.cubaynes@cefe.cnrs.fr (SC ), katrina.davis@biology.ox.ac.uk (KJD ), Sebastien.Devillard@univ-lyon1.fr (SD ), jfryxell@uoguelph.ca (JMF ), cara.gallagher@ecos.au.dk (CAG ), emchuron@uw.edu (EAM ), krastello@uvic.ca (KR ), isabel.smallegange@newcastle.ac.uk (IMS ), rob.salguero@biology.ox.ac.uk (RSG ), elsa.bonnaud@universite-paris-saclay.fr (EB ), christophe.duchamp@ofb.gouv.fr (CD ), patrick.giraudoux@univ-fcomte.fr (PG ), simon.lacombe@cefe.cnrs.fr (SL ), courtney.marneweck@gmail.com (CJM ), louis.schroll@ens-lyon.fr (LS ), adrien.tableau@ofb.gouv.fr (AT ), sandrine.ruette@ofb.gouv.fr (SR ), olivier.gimenez@cefe.cnrs.fr (OG )

Statement of authorship: CNS lead the manuscript; CNS, OG, SB, SC, KJD, SD, JMF, CAG, EAM, KR, IMS and RSG wrote the first draft of the manuscript; all authors contributed substantially to revisions; and CAG developed the visualisations (Fig. 2-3).

Short title: Population impacts of human disturbance

Type of article: Synthesis

Number of words in the abstract: 196

Number of words in the main text: 7500

Number of words in each text box: Box 1: 436, Box 2: 300, Box 3: 352

Number of references: 184

Number of figures: 3

Number of text boxes: 3