Nonlinear autumn phenology responses to compound drought and heatwave
events: results from a manipulative experiment
Abstract
Climate change-induced shifts in plant phenology have substantially
impacted terrestrial ecosystem structure and function. While the effects
of drought and heatwaves on leaf senescence have been studied, the
response of leaf senescence to compound drought and heatwave events
remains poorly understood, especially due to a lack of experimental
evidence. In this study, we investigated the responses of leaf
senescence to varying durations of compound drought and heatwave stress
(13, 28, and 43 days) in saplings of three tree species with differing
drought tolerance. We found that prolonged drought and heatwave
conditions delayed leaf senescence by 20.2 and 22.4 days in Koelreuteria
paniculata and Hibiscus syriacus, respectively, potentially due to
carbon sink limitation. However, Acer palmatum exhibited a nonlinear
response, with leaf senescence shifting from delayed to advanced as the
compound stress was prolonged, likely due to its low drought tolerance.
Additionally, total photosynthesis, relative height increment, and basal
diameter growth decreased in all three species, with the most pronounced
reductions observed in Acer palmatum, followed by Hibiscus syriacus and
Koelreuteria paniculata. Our findings demonstrate nonlinear and
interspecific differences in leaf senescence responses to compound
drought-heatwave events, contributing to a deeper understanding of plant
phenology under climate change.