A Method for Predicting Material Lifespan and Creep Behavior Based on
Limited Creep Strain Data
Abstract
This study proposes a novel method for predicting material creep
behavior based on the ZC parameter method using
limited creep strain data, aiming to address the limitations of
traditional creep prediction methods under conditions of high data
variability and incomplete experimental data. A systematic prediction of
the creep behavior of DZ125 alloy was conducted, analyzing the creep
curves and rupture lifespans under varying temperature and stress
conditions. The results indicate that the ZC
parameter method can accurately predict complete creep curves from
limited creep stress-time data, with predicted values closely aligning
with experimental data; all predicted data points fall within the 95%
confidence interval. Furthermore, the ZC
parameter method covers a broader strain range with smaller errors in
lifespan predictions, offering a reliable approach for forecasting the
creep behavior of high-temperature alloy materials. The study provides
new theoretical support and practical application references for the
prediction of creep performance in materials.