Present and future of the White-tailed Laurel Pigeon (Columba junoniae)
on Gran Canaria Island
Abstract
Aim Islands species are vulnerable to human impacts and extinction.
Consequently, many islands’ species have been extirpated, causing
complete or local extinctions. Reintroductions are useful, although
challenging, tools to restore ecosystems. In this work, we evaluate the
reintroduction success of the endemic white-tailed laurel pigeon
(Columba junoniae) on the island of Gran Canaria. We also explore its
future potential distribution under different scenarios of climate
change. Location Canary Islands, Spain Methods We used a combination of
Maximum Entropy models (MaxEnt) to model the potential niche of C.
junoniae in the whole Canarian archipelago, including its new
distribution area. We compare this potential distribution with the
actual distribution of the species in the reintroduction area.
Furthermore, we used multiple scenarios of climate change to analyse the
likely changes in the species’ suitable habitat. Results We found that
C. junoniae has colonised most of its potential habitat in the new
reintroduction area. Overall, this marks that the reintroduction has
successfully facilitated the distribution and settlement of the species.
However, our analysis also showed that this habitat is expected to
suffer future fragmentations and contractions under different climate
change scenarios. Main Conclusions Based on our research, C. junoniae
has colonized most of its potential habitat within its new distribution
area. Although this is a huge milestone for the conservation of the
species, future changes might jeopardize the species’ future. In this
scenario, microhabitats and refugees can alleviate this situation. Our
results also suggest that restoration of native forests is fundamental
to ensure the species’ long-term persistence and ecosystems’ resilience
against climate and land-use changes. This work set the principles for
the evaluation and long-term planning for the reintroduction of C.
junoniae in Gran Canaria.