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The role of climate and species interactions in determining the distribution of two elevationally segregated species of small mammals through time
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  • Alexandra Coconis,
  • Kenneth Nussear,
  • Rebecca Rowe,
  • Angela Hornsby,
  • Marjorie Matocq
Alexandra Coconis
University of Nevada Reno

Corresponding Author:acoconis@unr.edu

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Kenneth Nussear
University of Nevada Reno
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Rebecca Rowe
University of New Hampshire
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Angela Hornsby
Bell Museum
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Marjorie Matocq
University of Nevada Reno
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Abstract

The relative importance of abiotic and biotic factors in determining species distributions has long been of interest to ecologists but is often difficult to assess due to the lack of spatially and temporally robust occurrence records. Furthermore, locating places where potentially highly competitive species co-occur may be challenging but would provide critical knowledge into the effects of competition on species ranges. We built species distribution models for two closely related species of small mammals (Neotoma) that are largely parapatric along mountainsides throughout the Great Basin Desert using extensive modern occurrence records. We hindcasted these models to the mid-Holocene to compare the response of each species to dramatic climatic change and used paleontological records to validate our models. Model results showed species co-occurrence at mid-elevations along select mountain ranges in this region. We confirmed our model results with fine-scale field surveys in a single mountain range containing one of the most extensive survey datasets across an elevational gradient in the Great Basin. We found close alignment of both species’ realized distributions to their respective abiotic species distribution model predictions, despite the presence of the congener, indicating that climate may be more influential than competition in shaping distribution at the scale of a single mountain range. Our models also predict differential species responses to historic climate change, leading to reduced probability of species interactions during warmer and dryer climatic conditions. Our results emphasize the utility of examining species distributions with regards to both abiotic variables and species interactions and at various spatial scales to make inferences about the mechanisms underlying distributional limits.
13 Jun 2024Submitted to Ecography
24 Jul 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
13 Aug 2024Editorial Decision: Revise Major
29 Sep 20241st Revision Received
30 Sep 2024Submission Checks Completed
30 Sep 2024Assigned to Editor
30 Sep 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
30 Sep 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned
11 Nov 2024Editorial Decision: Revise Minor