A hybrid model based on double decomposition of BWO-ICEEMDAN-EWT and RBF
for short-term wind speed prediction
Abstract
Accurate wind speed prediction reduces the risk of wind speed
intermittence and instability to the power system. A hybrid model
combined double decomposition technique with RBF (Radial Basis Function)
Neural Network is designed to refine the accuracy of the prediction of
wind speeds. Firstly, the decomposition technique of ICEEMDAN is
introduced to break down the original wind speed, and the decomposition
parameters are optimized by BWO (the beluga whale optimization). The
decomposed subsequence of the highest frequency is further decomposed by
EWT (empirical wavelet transform), reducing the complexity of the
sequence. Then the RBF prediction model is adopted to predict each
subsequence. The ultimate results are constructed through the
aggregation of predictions made for each segmented subsequence. In order
to validate the accuracy and stability of the proposed method of
BWO-ICEEMDAN-EWT-RBF, the prediction results are compared with the other
kinds of models, i.e. BP, LSTM, RBF, CEEMDAN-RBF, ICEEMDAN-RBF and
EWT-RBF. The results show that: (a) with the aid of the double
decomposition technology of BWO-ICEEMDAN-EWT, the proposed hybrid
algorithm effectively reduce the sequence complexity and improve the
prediction performance; (b) the model in question substantially boosts
the level of precision and stability in the prediction of wind speeds.