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CNN-LSTM Time Series Forecasting of Electricity Power Generation Considering Biomass Thermal Systems
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  • William Buratto,
  • Rafael Muniz,
  • Ademir Nied,
  • Carlos Barros,
  • Rodolfo Cardoso,
  • Gabriel Gonzalez
William Buratto
UDESC

Corresponding Author:william.buratto@edu.udesc.br

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Rafael Muniz
Federal Fluminense University
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Ademir Nied
University of Santa Catarina State
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Carlos Barros
Federal Fluminense University
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Rodolfo Cardoso
Federal Fluminense University
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Gabriel Gonzalez
University of Salamanca
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Abstract

The use of biomass as a renewable energy source for electricity generation has gained attention due to its sustainability and environmental benefits. However, the intermittent electricity demand poses challenges for optimizing electricity generation in thermal systems. Time series forecasting techniques are crucial in addressing these challenges by providing accurate predictions of biomass availability and electricity generation. In this paper, convolutional neural networks (CNN) are used to extract features of the time series, and long short-term memory (LSTM) is applied to perform the predictions. The result of the mean absolute percentage error equal to 0.02562 shows that the CNN-LSTM is a promising machine learning methodology for electricity generation forecasting. Additionally, this paper discusses the importance of model evaluation techniques and validation strategies to assess the performance of forecasting models in real-world applications. Finally, future research directions and potential advancements in time series forecasting for biomass thermal systems are outlined to foster continued innovation in sustainable energy generation.
11 Jun 2024Submitted to IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution
13 Jun 2024Submission Checks Completed
13 Jun 2024Assigned to Editor
23 Jun 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned
31 Jul 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
06 Aug 2024Editorial Decision: Revise Major
14 Aug 20241st Revision Received
19 Aug 2024Assigned to Editor
19 Aug 2024Submission Checks Completed
19 Aug 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
19 Aug 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned
09 Sep 2024Editorial Decision: Revise Major
09 Sep 20242nd Revision Received
13 Sep 2024Submission Checks Completed
13 Sep 2024Assigned to Editor
13 Sep 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
13 Sep 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned
24 Sep 2024Editorial Decision: Accept