Artificial neural networks for energy demand prediction in an economic
MPC-based energy management system
Abstract
Microgrids are a development trend and have attracted a lot of attention
worldwide. The control system plays a crucial role in implementing these
systems and, due to their complexity, artificial intelligence techniques
represent some enabling technologies for their future development and
success. In this paper, we propose a novel formulation of an economic
model predictive control (economic MPC) applied to a microgrid designed
for a faculty building with the inclusion of a predictive model to deal
with the energy demand disturbance using an artificial neural network
(ANN). First, we develop a framework to identify an ANN using historical
data registered by a smart three-phase power quality analyzer to provide
feedforward power demand predictions. Next, we present an economic MPC
formulation that includes the prediction model for the disturbance
within the optimization problem to be solved by the MPC strategy. We
carried out simulations with different scenarios of energy consumption,
available resources and simulation times to highlight the results
obtained and analyze the performance of the energy management system. In
all cases, we observed the correct operation of the proposed control
scheme, complying at all times with the objectives and operational
restrictions imposed on the system.