Prognostic Modeling for Bone Sarcomas based on a Large Prospective
Cohort from a Tertiary Care Cancer Centre in India
Abstract
Background: Outcomes of adolescents and young adults (AYA) with
bone sarcomas inclusive of osteosarcoma (OGS) and Ewing’s sarcoma (ES)
are impacted by various factors including inadvertent prior treatment
and poor compliance. We aimed to identify prognostic factors and derive
prognostic models for these patients. Methods: All AYA OGS and
ES cases treated at our institute with the “OGS-12” and Ewing’s family
of tumors-2001 (“EFT-2001”) protocols from 2011 to 2021, and 2013 to
2018 respectively, were prospectively analyzed. Results:. Among
606/748 (81.0%) AYA with non-metastatic osteosarcoma, significant
factors included in the prognostic model were failure to complete
protocol (hazard ratio (HR) 2.65, 95% confidence interval (CI)
1.65-4.26), prior treatment (HR 2.93, CI 1.4-6.1), necrosis
<90% (HR 1.63, CI 1.24-2.1), joint involvement (HR 2.0, CI
1.49-2.69) and SAP> median (204 U/l) (HR 1.63, CI
1.24-2.14). Of 104/263 (39.5%) AYA ES, significant factors were failure
to complete protocol (HR 2.84, CI 1.03-7.8), prior treatment (HR 6.37,
CI 1.8-22.0), necrosis <100% (HR 8.73, CI 2.16-35.3), and
tumor size >8cm (HR 2.64, CI 1.04-6.7). For 142/366
(38.8%) AYA with metastatic OGS, significant factors were failure to
complete protocol (HR 5.29), metastases not amenable to local treatment
(HR 1.96), necrosis <90% (HR 1.96), and >10
metastases (HR 2.44). For 38/82 (43.6%) AYA with metastatic extremity
ES, significant factors were failure to complete protocol (HR 3.88) and
metastases not amenable to local treatment (HR 10.6).
Conclusion: We developed simple, effective prognostic models
for AYA with bone sarcomas with wide applicability in LMIC.