Abstract
Recent changes in climate and human land-use have resulted in
alterations of the geographic range of many species, including human
pathogens. Geographic range expansion and population growth of human
pathogens increase human disease risk. Relatively little empirical work
has investigated the impact of range changes on within-population
variability, a contributor to both colonization success and adaptive
potential, during the precise time in which populations are colonized.
This is likely due to the difficulties of collecting appropriate natural
samples during the dynamic phase of migration and colonization. We
systematically collected blacklegged ticks (Ixodes scapularis)
across New York State (NY), USA, between 2006 and 2019, a time period
coinciding with a rapid range expansion of ticks and their associated
pathogens including Borrelia burgdorferi, the etiological agent
of Lyme disease. These samples provide a unique opportunity to
investigate the genetic dynamics of human pathogens as they expand into
novel territory. We observed that founder effects were short-lived, as
gene flow from long-established populations brought almost all B.
burgdorferi lineages to newly colonized populations within just a few
years of colonization. By seven years post-colonization, B.
burgdorferi lineage frequency distributions were indistinguishable from
long-established sites, indicating that local B. burgdorferi
populations experience similar selective pressures despite geographic
separation. The B. burgdorferi lineage dynamics elucidate the
processes underlying the range expansion and demonstrate that migration
into, and selection within, newly colonized sites operate on different
time scales.