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Long transients may be temporal visits of hidden alternative stable states
  • Ning Chen,
  • Chang-ming Zhao
Ning Chen
Lanzhou University

Corresponding Author:chinning.cn2015@gmail.com

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Chang-ming Zhao
Lanzhou University
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Abstract

Ecosystems may exhibit transient (the period toward stable state) and alternative stable states, where positive feedback(s) generally plays important roles. However, the outline between transient and alternative stable states may blur when involving multiple positive feedbacks, which may shift dominance along environmental gradient. Therefore, a common theoretical framework considering multiple positive feedbacks is needed. Specifically, this study employed a mechanic model to explain a long transient state of a dryland ecosystem after restoration under effects of two positive feedbacks. We found that the long transient state might be a temporal visit of a hidden alternative stable state, maintained by the previously on-acting positive feedback and then pulled out by the upcoming feedback due to dominance shifting. This work proposes a novel perspective to study system dynamics – switch of positive feedbacks, and discovers a new type of transient state – temporal visit of hidden alternative stable states, which will benefit ecosystem interventions in practical.