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Xiangyu  Chen
Xiangyu Chen

Public Documents 1
Combined adaptive DRN-GRU model based on ultra short-term PV generation forecasting
Xiangyu  Chen
Guang  Tian

Xiangyu Chen

and 4 more

July 25, 2023
Traditional deep neural network model training process will deepen the network to a certain number of layers will produce network degradation phenomenon, and then affect the training effect and prediction accuracy. To address this problem, a PV power prediction model based on deep residual network (DRN) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network is proposed. Firstly, the Pearson correlation coefficient method is used to filter out the meteorological variables with high correlation with PV power from historical data and reduce the data dimensionality. Secondly, the DRN-GRU prediction model is proposed to be trained using the adaptive learning rate Adam optimization algorithm to obtain the optimal parameters. Finally, a DRN-GRU rolling prediction model is built based on the historical data series to derive the PV power prediction results. The results of the algorithm show that the model can still maintain good training effect in the network training of deep numbers, effectively solve the network degradation problem, and have higher prediction accuracy compared with models such as artificial neural networks and traditional convolutional neural networks.

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