Global analysis of the influence of environmental variables to explain
distributions and realized thermal niche boundaries of sea snakes
Abstract
Understanding the factors that affect species’ distributions is a
central topic of ecology and biogeography. However, the majority of
research about this topic has focused on species inhabiting terrestrial
environments. At broad scales, abiotic variables consistently serve as
the primary determinants of species’ distributions. In this study, we
investigate the explanatory power of different abiotic variables in
determining the distributional patterns of sea snakes on a global scale.
Additionally, as the boundaries of realized thermal niches have
significant implications for the ecology of the species and their
geographic distributions, we also evaluated the asymmetry of realized
thermal limits (i.e., differences in variances between upper and lower
limits of the realized thermal niche). We obtained global environmental
variables and occurrence data for each species across their entire known
geographic range. Using this data, we employed a correlative ecological
niche modeling procedure to analyze the influence of individual
variables in explaining species’ distributions. To estimate the realized
thermal limits of each species, we extracted the mean, minimum, and
maximum values of temperature at four depths (superficial, mean benthic,
minimum benthic, and maximum benthic) for each occurrence record of the
species. We then evaluated the asymmetry of the realized thermal niche
by measuring and comparing the variances of the upper and lower limits.
Both analyses (the importance of variables and realized thermal limit
asymmetry) were performed at three taxonomic levels (sea snakes as a
lineage of marine-adapted elapids [true sea snakes + sea kraits],
subfamily, and genus) and at two spatial resolutions. Overall, we found
that temperature, phosphate, nitrate, salinity and silicate
concentrations were the most influential factors in explaining the
spatial distribution patterns of sea snakes, regardless of the taxonomic
level or spatial resolution. Similarly, we observed that the realized
thermal limits were asymmetric with higher variance in the lower limits,
and that this asymmetry decreases as the taxonomic level and spatial
resolution increased. Finally, our results align with previous findings
regarding patterns of asymmetry in realized thermal limits and the
significant influence of abiotic variables in explaining the
distribution of marine species.