Exploring mechanisms of spatial segregation between body size groups
within fish populations under environmental change
Abstract
Ample evidence has indicated shifts in distribution of fish populations
in response to environmental stress. However, most studies focused at
the whole population scale. This neglects the spatial dynamics between
groups of different body size (body size groups), that fundamentally
shapes the spatial structure of a population. Here, we explored the
mechanisms that modulate spatial dynamics of body size groups, and
applied our analyses to three North Sea fish populations which
experienced severe declines in biomass from 1977 to 2019: Atlantic cod
(Gadus morhua), haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), and whiting
(Merlangius merlangius). All three populations exhibited strong declines
in the overlapped area between body size groups in winter over 43 years,
yet their mechanisms differed. These declines were either due to (1)
different magnitudes of contraction of the distribution area of body
size groups; and/or (2) different speeds and directions of spatial shift
among various body size groups, both increasing spatial segregation
within populations. These patterns were either associated with ocean
warming, and/or declining population biomass, and such associations
often varied according to distinct body size groups. Our analytical
approach provides a powerful tool for identifying vulnerable populations
under environmental stress and can be generalized to study a variety of
size/age structured populations at various ecosystem types.