A document by Peter A Bogenschutz. Click on the document to view its contents.

This study evaluates the performance of a global storm-resolving model (GSRM), the Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM). We analyze marine boundary layer clouds in a cold air outbreak over the Norwegian Sea in a 40-day simulation, and compare them to observations from satellite and a field campaign of the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement program (ARM). SCREAM qualitatively captures the cold air outbreak cloud transition in terms of the boundary layer growth, cloud mesoscale structure, and phase partitioning. SCREAM also correctly locates the greatest ice and liquid in the mesoscale updraft. However, the study finds that SCREAM might underestimate cloud supercooled liquid water in the cumulus cloud regime. This study showcases the promise of employing high-resolution and high-frequency observations under similar large-scale conditions for evaluating GSRMs. This approach can help identify model features for future process-level studies before allocating extra resources for a time-matched model intercomparison of a specific case.

The megaflood in the Jing-Jin-Ji region of China at the end of July 2023, driven by two typhoons and orographic precipitation, was a major disaster. In this study we show that the extreme rainfall event is well reproduced using the 3.25 km and 800 m Regionally Refined Mesh (RRM) configuration of the Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM). A projected 5.8\%/degC increase in Jing-Jin-Ji precipitation under 2.16 degC warming by 2050 for this event is related to markedly increases in condensation rate and vertical velocity. Free-running simulations further show that the response of the mesoscale circulation to warming results in more pronounced local precipitation changes and shifts in rainfall patterns. The value of SCREAM for assessing the impact of climate change on extreme events and the importance of high-resolution climate modeling are emphasized.

The new generation of heterogeneous CPU/GPU computer systems offer much greater computational performance but are not yet widely used for climate modeling. One reason for this is that traditional climate models were written before GPUs were available and would require an extensive overhaul to run on these new machines. In addition, even conventional “high–resolution’ simulations don’t provide enough parallel work to keep GPUs busy, so the benefits of such overhaul would be limited for the types of simulations climate scientists are accustomed to. The vision of the Simple Cloud-Resolving Energy Exascale Earth System (E3SM) Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) project is to create a global atmospheric model with the architecture to efficiently use GPUs and horizontal resolution sufficient to fully take advantage of GPU parallelism. After 5 yrs of model development, SCREAM is finally ready for use. In this paper, we describe the design of this new code, its performance on both CPU and heterogeneous machines, and its ability to simulate real-world climate via a set of four 40 day simulations covering all 4 seasons of the year.

We develop a doubly periodic version of the Simple Convection-Permitting E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) to provide an “efficient” configuration for this global storm resolving model (GSRM), akin to a single column model (SCM) often found in conventional general circulation models (GCMs). The design details are explained, in addition to the extensive case library associated with the doubly periodic SCREAM (DP-SCREAM) configuration. We demonstrate that doubly periodic cloud resolving models are useful tools to explore the scale awareness and scale sensitivity of GSRMs, in addition to replicating biases seen in the global models. Using DP-SCREAM, we show that SCREAM is a scale aware model as it is able to realistically partition between sub-grid scale (SGS) and resolved vertical transport across the gray zone of turbulence. We show that SCREAM is reasonably scale insensitive when run at resolutions from 1 to 5 km, but can exhibit sensitivity, particularly for the shallow convective regime, when run at resolutions approaching that of large eddy simulations. We conclude that SGS parameterization improvements are likely needed to reduce this scale sensitivity.

This paper describes the first implementation of the d x=3.25 km version of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) global atmosphere model and its behavior in a 40 day prescribed-sea-surface-temperature simulation (Jan 20-Feb 28, 2020). This simulation was performed as part of the DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains (DYAMOND) phase 2 model intercomparison. Effective resolution is found to be $\sim 6x the horizontal grid resolution despite using a coarser grid for physical parameterizations. Despite this new model being in an immature and untuned state, moving to 3.25 km grid spacing solves several long-standing problems with the E3SM model. In particular, Amazon precipitation is much more realistic, the frequency of light and heavy precipitation is improved, agreement between the simulated and observed diurnal cycle of tropical precipitation is excellent, and the vertical structure of tropical convection and coastal stratocumulus look good. In addition, the new model is able to capture the frequency and structure of important weather events (e.g. hurricanes, midlatitude storms including atmospheric rivers, and cold air outbreaks). Interestingly, this model does not get rid of the erroneous southern branch of the intertropical convergence zone nor the tendency for strongest convection to occur over the Maritime Continent rather than the West Pacific, both of which are classic climate model biases. Several other problems with the simulation are identified, underscoring the fact that this model is a work in progress.

The low cloud bias in global climate models (GCMs) remains an unsolved problem. Coarse vertical resolution in GCMs has been suggested to be a significant cause of low cloud bias because planetary boundary layer parameterizations cannot resolve sharp temperature and moisture gradients often found at the top of subtropical stratocumulus layers. This work aims to lessen the low cloud problem by implementing a new computational method, the Framework for Improvement by Vertical Enhancement (FIVE), into the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). Three physics schemes representing microphysics, radiation, and turbulence as well as vertical advection are interfaced to vertically enhanced physics (VEP), which allows for these processes to be computed on a higher vertical resolution grid compared to the rest of the E3SM model. We demonstrate the better representation of subtropical boundary layer clouds with FIVE while limiting additional computational cost from the increased number of levels. When the vertical resolution approaches the LES-like vertical resolution in VEP, the climatological low cloud amount shows a significant increase of more than 30% in the southeastern Pacific Ocean. Besides the improvement of low-level cloud amount, the skill scores of mid- and high-level cloud amounts are not negatively impacted partly because FIVE can avoid negative consequences of running deep convection parameterization at high vertical resolution.