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Incorporating Low-Cost Sensor Measurements into High-Resolution PM2.5 Modeling at a Large Spatial Scale
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  • Jianzhao Bi,
  • Avani Wildani,
  • Howard Chang,
  • Yang Liu
Jianzhao Bi
Emory University

Corresponding Author:jbi6@emory.edu

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Avani Wildani
Emory University
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Howard Chang
Emory University
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Yang Liu
Emory University
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Abstract

Low-cost air quality monitors (LCAQMs) are promising supplements to regulatory monitors for PM2.5 exposure assessment. However, the application of LCAQM in spatially extensive exposure modeling is hindered by the difficulty in performing calibration at large spatial scales and the adverse influence of LCAQM residual uncertainty after calibration. We aimed to develop an efficient spatially scalable calibration method for LCAQM and design a residual uncertainty-derived down-weighting strategy to optimize the use of LCAQM data with regulatory monitoring data in PM2.5 modeling. In California, for each monitor from PurpleAir, a global LCAQM network, we identified a station within a 500-m radius from the Air Quality System (AQS), a U.S. regulatory monitoring network. Regional calibration of PurpleAir to AQS was performed at the hourly level with Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). The calibrated PurpleAir measurements were down-weighted according to their residual uncertainty and then incorporated into a Random Forest (RF) prediction model as a dependent variable to generate 1-km daily PM2.5 exposure estimates. The state-level PurpleAir calibration reduced the systematic bias to ~0 ug/m3 and decreased the random error by 38%. The considerably large samples also enabled quantitative analyses regarding potential factors related to the PurpleAir bias. The RF-based model with both AQS and down-weighted PurpleAir data outperformed the RF model based solely on AQS with an improved CV R2 of 0.86, an improved spatial CV R2 of 0.81, and a lower prediction error of 5.40 ug/m3. The down-weighting allowed the prediction model to show more spatial details of PM2.5 and to better detect pollution hot-spots. Our spatially scalable calibration and down-weighting strategies, for the first time, allowed an effective application of a state-level LCAQM network in high-resolution PM2.5 exposure modeling. The proposed framework can be generalized to regions worldwide for advancing the evaluation of heavy PM2.5 episodes and health-related applications.
18 Feb 2020Published in Environmental Science & Technology volume 54 issue 4 on pages 2152-2162. 10.1021/acs.est.9b06046