Novel approaches to geospace particle transfer in the digital age:
Progress through data science
Abstract
The magnetosphere, ionosphere and thermosphere (MIT) act as a coherently
integrated system (geospace), driven in part by solar influences and
characterized by variability and complexity. Among the most important
and yet uncertain aspects of the geospace system is energy and momentum
coupling between regions, which is, in part, accomplished by the
transfer of charged particles from the magnetosphere to the ionosphere
in a process known as particle precipitation, and in the opposite
direction by ion outflow. Both processes are inherently multiscale and
manifest the variabilities and complexities of the geospace system.
Despite the importance of the transfer of particles, existing models are
increasingly ill-equipped to provide the specification necessary for the
growing demand for geospace now- and forecasts. Due to recent trends in
the availability of data, we now face an exciting opportunity to
progress particle transfer in geospace through the intersection of
traditional approaches and state-of-the-art data-driven sciences. We
reveal novel particle transfer models utilizing machine learning (ML),
present results from the models, and provide an evaluation of their
capabilities including comparisons with observations and the current
’state-of-the-art’ models (e.g., OVATION Prime for particle
precipitation and the Gamera-Ionosphere Polar Wind Model for ion
outflow). We detail the data wrangling required to utilize the available
geospace observations to make progress on the long-standing challenge of
particle transfer and place specific emphasis on the discovery possible
when ML models are appropriate and robustly interrogated in the context
of physical understanding. Our presentation helps illustrate the trends
in the application of data science in space science.