Helheim Glacier's terminus position controls its seasonal and
inter-annual ice flow variability
Abstract
At least half of today’s mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet is due to
the retreat of tidewater glaciers. For example, over the past decade
Helheim Glacier in southeast Greenland has been one of the largest
contributors to total ice discharge across the Greenland ice sheet.
There is broad agreement that the acceleration and retreat of these
marine terminating glaciers has been triggered by the intrusion of
warmer currents in the fjords, however, other processes such as changes
in basal conditions, ice rheology, surface mass balance or calving
dynamics may have also played important roles in controlling the retreat
of these glaciers. Without quantifying the individual contributions of
these processes, it is difficult to determine which of these processes
should be included in ice sheet models to correctly capture the present
and future retreat and associated mass loss of the ice sheet. In this
study, we simulate the dynamics of Helheim Glacier, from 2007 to 2020,
using the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM) to investigate the
model response to changes in external forcing and boundary conditions.
By switching off each of these external forcing components and comparing
the numerical solution with observations, we identify that the seasonal
to inter-annual variability of Helheim Glacier is relatively insensitive
to the choice of friction law or the ice rheology, but that the position
of the calving front has a direct and large impact on ice velocity.We
then apply automatic differentiation to quantify the transient
sensitivity of the ice flux near the terminus to changes in
ocean-induced melting rates, basal frictions, ice rheology, calving
dynamics and surface mass balance. These sensitivities highlight the
regions where each parameter may contribute the most to changes in ice
flux and which process should be properly captured by numerical models
in order to accurately project the future response of Helheim Glacier.
This study, as a result, can be used as a guide for model development of
similar glaciers.