Solene L Antoine

and 4 more

Surface deformation associated with continental earthquake ruptures includes localized deformation on the faults, as well as deformation in the surrounding medium through distributed and/or diffuse processes. However, the role of the diffuse part of the surface deformation to the overall rupture process, as well as its underlying physical mechanisms are not yet well understood. In this study, we compute high-resolution near-fault displacement maps from optical image correlations for the 2021/05/21 Mw7.4 Maduo, Tibet, strike-slip earthquake, and measure the contributions of the different deformation components to the surface deformations for that event. Results show that surface slip along primary faults accommodates, on average, only ~25% of the total surface deformation. Majority of the surface coseismic deformation is in fact accommodated by diffuse deformation,especially in the epicentral area where no surface slip was observed. In fact, the contribution of the diffuse deformation increases as localized deformation on the fault decreases. Localized deformation also decreases with decreasing total surface displacement. These observations highlight a gradual localization of the surface coseismic deformation, from regions of diffuse low (0.1-0.3%) strain, to regions of highly localized (>1 %) strain, with increasing coseismic displacement. Using simple two-dimensional mechanical models we show that diffuse deformation may correspond to elastoplastic bulk yielding, accounting for the deficit in shallow fault slip in the regions of surface rupture gap.

Kyongsik Yun

and 9 more

California’s Central Valley is responsible for $17 billion of annual agricultural output, producing 1/4 of the nation’s food. However, land in the Central Valley is sinking at a rapid rate (as much as 20 cm per year) due to continued groundwater pumping. Land subsidence has a significant impact on infrastructure resilience and groundwater sustainability. It is important to understand subsidence and groundwater depletion in a consistent framework using improved models capable of simulating in-situ well observations and observed subsidence. Currently, groundwater well data is sparse and sampled irregularly, compromising our understanding of groundwater changes. Moreover, groundwater pumping data is a major missing piece of the puzzle. Limited data availability and spatial/temporal uncertainty in the available data have hampered understanding the complex dynamics of groundwater and subsidence. To address this limitation, we first integrated multimodal data including InSAR, groundwater, precipitation, and soil composition by interpolating data with the same spatial and temporal resolutions. We then identified regions with different temporal dynamics of land displacement, groundwater depth, and precipitation. Some areas (e.g., Helm) with coarser grain soil compositions exhibited potentially reversible land transformations (elastic land compaction). Finally, we fed the integrated data into the deep neural network of a gated recurrent unit-based sequence-to-sequence generation model. We found that the combination of InSAR, groundwater depth, and precipitation data had predictive power for soil composition using deep neural networks (correlation coefficient R=0.83, normalized Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency NNSE=0.84). A random forest model was tested as baseline (R=0.65, NNSE=0.69). We also achieved significant accuracy with only 40% of the training data (NNSE=0.8), suggesting that the model can be generalized to other regions for indirect estimation of soil composition. Our results indicate that soil composition can be estimated using InSAR, groundwater depth and precipitation data. In-situ measurements of soil composition can be expensive and time consuming and may be impractical in some areas. The generalizability of the model sheds light on high spatial resolution soil composition estimation utilizing existing measurements.