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Developing High-Resolution Channel to Basin-Scale Unstructured Grid Hydrodynamic Models for Tide/Storm Predictions in the US East and Gulf of Mexico Coasts
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  • María Teresa Contreras Vargas,
  • Joannes Westerink,
  • Damrongsak Wirasaet,
  • William Pringle,
  • Edward Myers,
  • Saeed Moghimi,
  • Sergey Vinogradov,
  • Andre Van der Westhuysen
María Teresa Contreras Vargas
University of Notre Dame

Corresponding Author:mcontre3@nd.edu

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Joannes Westerink
Univ Notre Dame
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Damrongsak Wirasaet
University of Notre Dame
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William Pringle
University of Notre Dame
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Edward Myers
NOAA
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Saeed Moghimi
NOAA National Ocean Service
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Sergey Vinogradov
NOAA National Ocean Service
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Andre Van der Westhuysen
NOAA/NWS
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Abstract

The current technology used by the Extratropical Surge and Tide Operational Forecast System (ESTOFS) on the East of the US and Gulf of Mexico coasts uses a sub-optimal unstructured grid, that over-resolves some straight portions of the coastline, under-resolves complex estuaries and coastal features, and employs roughly uniform resolution depending on the different water depths. The ESTOFS model is very efficient in terms of computational run time because it was designed for operational use, but accuracy is sub-optimal as the details of the complex inland water bodies is not captured with the 200 m minimum mesh resolution. ADCIRC is a robust high-fidelity depth-integrated model, widely used for the coastal community, including ESTOFS, for tides, storm surge, and wave-induced coastal setup. ADCIRC is a continuous-Galerkin based finite element unstructured grid framework that allows using meshes with a heterogeneous resolution to better represent the complexity of the ocean, shelf and nearshore regions. Recent advances on mesh generation tools now allow generating replicable high-resolution grids in times much shorter than the hand-edited processes used to develop the current version of ESTOFS. This opens the opportunity to study the effect of the different resolutions to represent topo-bathymetric and far inland water body features, in order to reduce the computational cost and improve the accuracy of the models. Thus, the objective of this research is to develop an ADCIRC-based model to accurately and efficiently simulate the dynamics of the ocean and riverine system in the Atlantic coast of the US and Gulf of Mexico for tide/storm predictions. The new ADCIRC-based model will incorporate a representation of the riverine system far up to the point where the ocean has no effect on water levels, efficiently use the resolution to reduce the minimum grid-size from 250 m to 50 m, with no significant increase in the number of nodes, and will combine pseudo-quadrilateral elements to efficiently represent narrow channels. This new generation of ESTOFS will represent a significant enhancement of the current technology for tides and storm surge prediction, but also will set up the required conditions for future approaches focused on coupling inland hydrology to the coastal modeling.