Developing High-Resolution Channel to Basin-Scale Unstructured Grid
Hydrodynamic Models for Tide/Storm Predictions in the US East and Gulf
of Mexico Coasts
Abstract
The current technology used by the Extratropical Surge and Tide
Operational Forecast System (ESTOFS) on the East of the US and Gulf of
Mexico coasts uses a sub-optimal unstructured grid, that over-resolves
some straight portions of the coastline, under-resolves complex
estuaries and coastal features, and employs roughly uniform resolution
depending on the different water depths. The ESTOFS model is very
efficient in terms of computational run time because it was designed for
operational use, but accuracy is sub-optimal as the details of the
complex inland water bodies is not captured with the 200 m minimum mesh
resolution. ADCIRC is a robust high-fidelity depth-integrated model,
widely used for the coastal community, including ESTOFS, for tides,
storm surge, and wave-induced coastal setup. ADCIRC is a
continuous-Galerkin based finite element unstructured grid framework
that allows using meshes with a heterogeneous resolution to better
represent the complexity of the ocean, shelf and nearshore regions.
Recent advances on mesh generation tools now allow generating replicable
high-resolution grids in times much shorter than the hand-edited
processes used to develop the current version of ESTOFS. This opens the
opportunity to study the effect of the different resolutions to
represent topo-bathymetric and far inland water body features, in order
to reduce the computational cost and improve the accuracy of the models.
Thus, the objective of this research is to develop an ADCIRC-based model
to accurately and efficiently simulate the dynamics of the ocean and
riverine system in the Atlantic coast of the US and Gulf of Mexico for
tide/storm predictions. The new ADCIRC-based model will incorporate a
representation of the riverine system far up to the point where the
ocean has no effect on water levels, efficiently use the resolution to
reduce the minimum grid-size from 250 m to 50 m, with no significant
increase in the number of nodes, and will combine pseudo-quadrilateral
elements to efficiently represent narrow channels. This new generation
of ESTOFS will represent a significant enhancement of the current
technology for tides and storm surge prediction, but also will set up
the required conditions for future approaches focused on coupling inland
hydrology to the coastal modeling.