Climate change impacts on thermal characteristics of freshwater fish
habitats in a regulated river system
Abstract
River temperature is projected to increase in the southeastern United
States (SEUS) due to climate change, exacerbating the invasion of
warm-water species and reducing suitable habitats for cold- and
cool-water species. However, the response of river thermal regimes to
climate change is also influenced by human activities, especially dam
construction and operation. Large dams impound deep reservoirs, expand
water surface area and prolong water residence time, modifying the
interaction of surface meteorology with river systems. During warm
seasons, surface energy fluxes can only heat the top layer (epilimnion)
in deep reservoirs with bottom layer (hypolimnion) remaining cold. This
vertical temperature gradient is called thermal stratification. Cold
hypolimnetic releases from stratified reservoirs changes downstream
thermal regimes that can expel indigenous warm-water species yet provide
an ideal habitat for introduced cold-water species. For example,
multiple species of trout (Family: Salmonidae) have been introduced to
tailwaters downstream of multiple dams operated by the Tennessee Valley
Authority, which has become a popular and lucrative recreational fishing
location in the SEUS. Previous research has shown that reservoir thermal
stratification will be retained under climate change, but stronger
surface energy fluxes warm downstream river temperature, suggesting
there will be a future decline in cold-water species habitat and a
corresponding increase in local warm-water species habitat. In this
study, we used a physically-based modeling method to simulate river
temperatures, explicitly considering the impact of thermal
stratification. The SEUS has a highly regulated river system and diverse
freshwater fish species. We mapped the suitable habitats for selected
cold-water and warm-water fish species by comparing the simulated river
temperature against their physiological constraints. Model experiments
were designed to quantify the impacts of dam operation by simulating
river temperature for both regulated and unregulated scenarios.
Potential ecological consequences under climate change were analyzed
through projected changes in river thermal regimes, e.g., shrinking
habitats for cold-water species and restoring local warm-water species.