During the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in 2020, limited data from several countries suggested reduced circulation of seasonal influenza viruses. We applied the moving epidemic method (MEM) to influenza surveillance data from 2016 to 2019 in Bangladesh to estimate an average seasonal influenza curve and establish epidemic thresholds. The 2020 influenza epidemic started 18 weeks later, was 7.5 weeks shorter, and was less intense than the average curve of the four previous years. These findings contribute to a limited but growing body of evidence that influenza seasons were altered globally in 2020.

Background We explored whether hospital-based surveillance is useful in detecting severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) clusters and how often these events result in outbreak investigation and community mitigation. Methods During May 2009– December 2020, physicians at 14 sentinel hospitals prospectively identified SARI clusters (i.e., ≥2 SARI cases who developed symptoms ≤10 days of each other and lived <30 minute walk or <3 km from each other). Oropharyngeal and nasopharyngeal swabs were tested for influenza and other respiratory viruses by rRT-PCR. We describe the demographic of persons within clusters, laboratory results, and outbreak investigations. Results Physicians identified 464 clusters comprising 1,427 SARI cases (range 0–13 clusters per month). Sixty percent of clusters had three, 23% had 2, and 17% had ≥4 cases. Their median age was 2 years (interquartile [IQR] 0.4–25) and 63% were male. Laboratory results were available for the 464 clusters a median 9 days (IQR = 6–13 days) after cluster identification. Less than one in five clusters had cases that tested positive for the same virus: RSV in 58 (13%), influenza viruses in 24 (5%), HMPV in 5 (1%), HPIV in 3 (0.6%), adenovirus in 2 (0.4%). While 102/464 (22%) had poultry exposure, none tested positive for influenza A(H5N1) or A(H7N9). None of the 464 clusters led to field deployments for outbreak response. Conclusions For 11 years, none of the hundreds of identified clusters led to emergency response. The value of this event-based surveillance might be improved by seeking larger clusters, with stronger epidemiologic ties or decedents.