Evidence of sweepstakes reproductive success in a broadcast-spawning
coral and its implications for coral metapopulation persistence
Abstract
Processes governing genetic diversity and adaptive potential in
reef-building corals are of interest both for fundamental evolutionary
biology and for reef conservation. Here, we investigated the possibility
of “sweepstakes reproductive success” (SRS) in a broadcast spawning
coral Acropora hyacinthus at Yap Island, Micronesia. SRS is an extreme
yearly variation in the number of surviving offspring among parents. It
is predicted to generate genetically differentiated, low genetic
diversity recruit cohorts, containing close kin individuals. We have
tested these predictions by comparing genetic composition of size
classes (adults and juveniles) at several sites on the island of Yap,
Micronesia. We did see the genome-wide dip in genetic diversity in
juveniles compared to adults at two of the four sites; however, both
adults and juveniles varied in genetic diversity across sites, and there
was no detectable genetic structure among juveniles, which does not
conform to the classical SRS scenario. Yet, we have identified a pair of
juvenile siblings at the site where juveniles had the lowest genetic
diversity compared to adults, an observation that is hard to explain
without invoking SRS. While further support for SRS is needed to fully
settle the issue, we show that incorporating SRS into the Indo-West
Pacific coral metapopulation adaptation model had surprisingly little
effect on mean rates of coral cover decline during warming. Still, SRS
notably increases year-to-year variation in coral cover throughout the
simulation.