Abstract
Sea level rise has accelerated during recent decades, exceeding rates
recorded during the previous two millennia1. Many coastal habitats and
species around the globe are vanishing2. This situation is expected to
worsen due to anthropogenically induced climate change. However, the
magnitude and relevance of expected increase in sea level rise (SLR) for
marine and terrestrial species reliant on coastal habitat for foraging,
resting or breeding is unknown. We combined freely available digital
elevation models for continental and remote island beaches across ocean
basins with field data and sea level rise projections to explore the
potential impact of SLR under various IPCC SLR scenarios on sea turtle
nesting habitats at some of the largest rookeries worldwide. The study
sites host five out of seven living species and all of them are
categorized from vulnerable to critically endangered3 and essential due
to sea turtles return to natal beaches to nest4. Our results confirm
that the majority of sea turtle nesting habitat could vanish within the
next few decades, leading to the depletion of many populations
worldwide. Thus, even under moderate climate change scenarios, a large
proportion of sea turtle nesting habitat will be flooded by 2050 and not
survive to the end of the century. Overall, nesting populations with a
low steep beaches slope and those species nesting at open beaches such
as leatherback and loggerheads sea turtles might be the most affected
under future SLR scenarios.