Application and comparative study of SWAT and LSTNet models on runoff
simulation in the Atsuma River basin
Abstract
Accurate runoff simulation is of great importance to understand
watershed hydrologic cycle process, effective utilize water resources
and respond flood disaster. Hydrologic model is one of the main tools
for runoff simulation research and the continuous improvement in Machine
Learning offers powerful tools for modeling of hydrologic process. This
research took the runoff process of the Atsuma River basin in Hokkaido
from 2015 to 2019 as object, proposed a special machine learning
framework: Long-and Short-term Time-series Network (LSTNet) for runoff
simulation, discussed the accuracy for runoff simulation of LSTNet model
with (multivariate LSTNet Model) or without (univariate LSTNet Model)
meteorological factors and Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model
respectively, analyzed the model selection for runoff simulation under
different data conditions in the basin. The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency
coefficients (NSE) of the runoff simulation results in the validation
(test) period were 0.633 (SWAT model), 0.643 (multivariate LSTNet
model), and 0.716 (univariate LSTNet model) respectively. The results
show that the accuracies of the two models for runoff simulation in the
Atsuma River basin are all very high. SWAT model has prominent
advantages in runoff simulation and shortcomings. LSTNet model shows
great advantages and potential in runoff simulation. In summary, when
target basin’ s data is accurate and complete, the accuracy of SWAT
model in runoff simulation is high and stable. When the target basin
lacks data or the quality of data is poor, LSTNet model can realize
high-precision runoff simulation only based on the measured runoff data,
which has a strong application.