Estimating the abundance of the critically endangered Baltic Proper
harbour porpoise (Phocoena phocoena) population using passive
acoustic monitoring
Abstract
Knowing the abundance of a population is a crucial component to assess
its conservation status and develop effective conservation plans. For
most cetaceans, abundance estimation is difficult given their cryptic
and mobile nature, especially when the population is small and has a
transnational distribution. In the Baltic Sea, the number of harbour
porpoises (Phocoena phocoena) has collapsed since the mid-20th century
and the Baltic Proper harbour porpoise is listed as Critically
Endangered by the IUCN; however, its abundance remains unknown. Here,
one of the largest ever passive acoustic monitoring studies was carried
out by eight Baltic Sea nations to estimate the abundance of the Baltic
Proper harbour porpoise for the first time. By logging porpoise
echolocation signals at 298 stations during May 2011-April 2013,
calibrating the loggers’ spatial detection performance at sea, and
measuring the click rate of tagged individuals, we estimated an
abundance of 66-1,143 individuals (95% CI, point estimate 490) during
May-October within the population’s proposed management border. The
small abundance estimate strongly supports that the Baltic Proper
harbour porpoise is facing an extremely high risk of extinction, and
highlights the need for immediate and efficient conservation actions
through international cooperation. It also provides a starting point in
monitoring the trend of the population abundance to evaluate the
effectiveness of management measures and determine its interactions with
the larger neighbouring Belt Sea population. Further, we offer evidence
that design-based passive acoustic monitoring can generate reliable
estimates of the abundance of rare and cryptic animal populations across
large spatial scales.