The Need to Account for Water Resources Management in Climate Change
Impact and Adaptation Studies
Abstract
In 2020, renewables became the second-largest source of electricity
generation in the United States after natural gas (US EIA, 2021). In
recent years, wind energy generation has overtaken hydropower as the
dominant source of renewable generation in the United States, but
hydropower continues to offer advantages, in particular large-scale
storage, that makes it particularly valuable as a complement to other
weather-driven renewables. This storage, in the form of reservoirs, is
rarely managed exclusively to optimize hydropower generation. Instead,
reservoirs are operated for flood control, ecosystem services,
irrigation, water supply, navigation, and recreation as well as
hydropower. Managing these competing demands in a changing climate with
existing infrastructure creates difficult challenges, because all these
demands are themselves subject to change as is the electricity demand
itself. Yet many climate change impact studies continue to treat rivers
as entirely natural systems and water resources infrastructure is
ignored or treated as an afterthought. In this presentation, we will
discuss recent climate change impact studies in both the northwestern
and southeastern United States in which we quantified the effects of
regulation on discharge and other variables. We will make the case that
to develop new strategies for mitigating and adapting to climate change,
it is paramount to account for humans as active agents in the hydrologic
cycle. The first study focuses on the Columbia River Basin in the
Pacific Northwest, the main hydropower producing region in the United
States, and examines the effect of accounting for regulation on changes
in high and low flow extremes. The second study focuses on the
southeastern United States and evaluates the effects of regulation on
estimated changes in flow, stream temperature, and habitat suitability.
US EIA, 2021: Monthly Energy Review, July 2021. www.eia.gov/mer [Last
accessed on 8/3/2021].