Unhealthy herds and the predator spreader: understanding when predation
increases disease incidence and prevalence
Abstract
Disease ecologists now recognize the limitation behind examining
host-parasite interactions in isolation: community members – especially
predators – dramatically affect host-parasite dynamics. Although the
initial paradigm was that predation should reduce disease in prey
populations (“healthy herds hypothesis”), researchers have realized
that predators sometimes increase disease in their prey. These
“predator-spreaders” are now recognized as critical to disease
dynamics, but empirical research on the topic remains fragmented. In a
narrow sense, a “predator-spreader” would be defined as a predator
that mechanically spreads parasites via feeding. However, predators
affect their prey and, subsequently, disease transmission in many other
ways such as altering prey population structure, behavior, and
physiology. We review the existing evidence for these mechanisms and
provide heuristics that incorporate features of the host, predator,
parasite, and environment to understand whether or not a predator is
likely to be a predator-spreader. We also provide guidance for targeted
study of each mechanism and quantifying the effects of predators on
parasitism in a way that yields more general insights into the factors
that promote predator-spreading. We aim to offer a better understanding
of this important and underappreciated interaction and a path towards
being able to predict how changes in predation will influence parasite
dynamics.