Shifting Macroecological Patterns and Static Theory Failure in a
Stressed Alpine Plant Community
Abstract
Accumulating evidence suggests that ecological communities undergoing
change in response to either anthropogenic or natural disturbance
regimes exhibit macroecological patterns that differ from those observed
in similar types of communities in relatively undisturbed sites. In
contrast to such cross-site comparisons, however, there are few
empirical studies of shifts over time in the shapes of macroecological
patterns. Here we provide a dramatic example of a plant community in
which the species-area relationship and the species-abundance
distribution change markedly over a period of six years. These patterns
increasingly deviate from the predictions of the Maximum Entropy Theory
of Ecology (METE), which successfully predicts macroecological patterns
in relatively static systems. Information on the dynamic state of an
ecosystem inferred from snapshot measurements of macroecological
community structure can assist in extending the domain of current
theories and models to disturbed ecosystems.