Abstract
There is a rich amount of information in co-occurrence data that could
be used to understand community assembly. This proposition first
envisioned by Forbes (1907) and then Diamond (1975) prompted the
development of numerous modelling approaches (e.g. null model analysis,
co-occurrence networks and, more recently, joint species distribution
models). Both theory and experimental evidence support the idea that
ecological interactions may affect co-occurrence, but it remains unclear
to what extent the signal of interaction can be captured in
observational data. The time is now ripe to step back from the
statistical developments and critically assess whether co-occurrence
data really is a proxy for ecological interactions. In this paper we
present a series of arguments based on probability, sampling, food web
and coexistence theories supporting that significant spatial
associations between species (or the lack of) is a poor proxy for
ecological interactions. We discuss appropriate interpretations of
co-occurrence, along with potential avenues to extract as much
information as possible from such data.