Disease hotspots or hot species? Infection dynamics in multi-host
metacommunities controlled by species composition, not source location
Abstract
Pathogen persistence in host communities is influenced by a hierarchy of
heterogeneities from individual host to landscape-level attributes, but
isolating the relative contributions of these heterogeneities is
challenging. We developed theory to partition the influence of host
species, habitat patches, and landscape connectivity on pathogen
persistence within host-pathogen metacommunities. We used the framework
to quantify the contributions of host species composition and habitat
patch identity on the persistence of an amphibian pathogen across the
landscape. By sampling over 11,000 hosts of six amphibian species, we
found that a single host species could maintain the pathogen in 91% of
the metacommunities we observed. Moreover, this dominant maintenance
species contributed, on average, twice as much to landscape-level
pathogen persistence compared to the most influential source patch in a
metacommunity. Our analysis demonstrates substantial inequality in how
species and patches contribute to pathogen persistence, with important
implications for targeted disease management.