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Adaptive CO2 Concentration Control for Stabilizing Global Warming in TIPMIP Experiments
  • Goran Georgievski,
  • Victor Brovkin
Goran Georgievski
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology

Corresponding Author:goran.georgievski@mpimet.mpg.de

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Victor Brovkin
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
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Abstract

Tipping elements are critical components of the Earth system. These are small perturbations that can cause large, potentially cascading, and irreversible impacts on the climate system, including the biosphere and human societies. However, our current knowledge of the scale and feedbacks of Earth system components that might exhibit tipping behavior is still limited. Advancing our understanding requires large ensembles of Earth System Model (ESM) simulations. In the Tipping Point Model Intercomparison Project (TIPMIP), a “ramp up – stabilization – ramp down” scenario is suggested. This approach involves adapting either CO2 emissions or CO2 concentrations to drive the global mean surface temperature (GMST) to increase towards a certain prescribed global warming level (GWL), keeping it stable at the GWL for a certain period, and then allowing the temperature to decrease again.
13 Dec 2024Submitted to 2024 AGU Annual Meeting Preprint Collection on ESS Open Archive
17 Dec 2024Published in 2024 AGU Annual Meeting Preprint Collection on ESS Open Archive