Afforestation may aggravate the trade-off between water-related
ecosystem services in degraded ecosystems
Abstract
Land use change is a main factor of affecting water-related ecosystem
services (WESs), critical for managing aquatic ecosystem. Nevertheless,
how to establish the connection between realistic land management and
optimizing WESs is unclear. To address this issue, we selected a typical
ecologically vulnerable area, the Ussuri River Basin in China, as an
analyzed domain to reveal the driving mechanism of WESs. Furthermore,
four land scenarios were established to unfold the connection between
land use and WESs. The results are as follows: from 2000 to 2018,
cropland expansion led to increases of nitrogen export (+11.55%) and
phosphorous export (+12.50%), along with increased food production
(+127.27%) and water yield services (+1.41%). We found that the
trade-offs occurred mainly within provisioning services (between water
yield and food production) or regulating services (between water
purification and soil retention). Regarding future scenarios, the
traditional ”Grain for Green” scenario failed to benefit ecosystems, not
only increasing the trade-off intensity of ecosystem services, but
leading to competitive relationships in WESs. As a result, afforestation
may not be an optimal solution for the restoration of degraded
ecosystems, especially in water-limited areas. The forestland buffer
zone scenario was regarded as the optimal land practice, in which WESs
were enhanced significantly and trade-offs were reduced between
provisioning services, indicating that tree-planting near waters
maintained both ecological benefits and fundamental grain outputs. These
results highlighted importance of land management on WESs, offering a
prospective evaluation of ecosystem service benefits under future
development pathway.