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Bayesian Model Selection to Investigate Meaningful Spatial Scales
  • +2
  • Andrew Hoegh,
  • Kathryn Irvine,
  • Katharine Banner,
  • Luz de Wit,
  • Brian Reichert
Andrew Hoegh
Montana State University Bozeman

Corresponding Author:andrew.hoegh@montana.edu

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Kathryn Irvine
US Geological Survey
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Katharine Banner
Montana State University
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Luz de Wit
Bat Conservation International
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Brian Reichert
USGS FORT
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Abstract

Ecologists and other statistical practitioners with access to high-resolution spatial data lack guidance on best approaches for discerning meaningful spatial scales for environmental covariates which is necessary when spatial factors influence environmental processes. Recently developed methods have attempted to automate investigating spatial scales for covariates by evaluating models for which potential explanatory variables are derived from concentric circles of increasing size centered at survey locations. However, these methods make a strong assumption on the inclusion of the covariate and do not help discern whether a covariate should be included in the model. We present an approach that utilizes researcher guidance to create informative priors on the model space that, along with parallelizable Reversible Jump MCMC techniques, enables efficient estimation of posterior model probabilities to assist with the choice of meaningful spatial scales for environmental covariates.
13 Jan 2025Submitted to Ecology and Evolution
14 Jan 2025Submission Checks Completed
14 Jan 2025Assigned to Editor
15 Jan 2025Reviewer(s) Assigned