Analysis of grassland phenology dynamics and response to seasonal
climate, terrain in the China based on Geodetector for the period 2001
to 2019
Abstract
Abstract: Grassland phenology has a significant impact on the carbon
balance of terrestrial ecosystems. However, the response of vegetation
phenology to seasonal climate remains unclear. This study analyzes the
response mechanisms of grassland phenology in China to seasonal climate,
altitude, slope, and slope aspect from 2001 to 2019 using methods such
as the Geodetector. The results are as follows: (1)The average start of
season (SOS) was 172 days, showing an advancing trend at a rate of 0.2
days per year. The average end of season (EOS) was 258 days, showing a
delaying trend at a rate of 0.35 days per year. (2)Temperature shows an
accumulative effect on SOS, with an extended pre-season period expanding
the region where temperature and SOS are negatively correlated. The
influence of evapotranspiration and precipitation on SOS varies by
season, with both factors generally showing a negative correlation with
SOS. Seasonal temperature, precipitation, and evapotranspiration all
positively correlate with EOS. (3)The response of SOS to altitude and
slope shows a nonlinear trend. Below 4,000 meters, the delay rate of SOS
is 1.85 days per kilometer; above 4,000 meters, the delay rate increases
to 13.91 days per kilometer. When the slope is below 25°, SOS shows no
significant change, but above 25°, SOS is significantly delayed. EOS
advances with altitude at a rate of 0.1 days per kilometer. (4)The
interaction between climate and terrain has a much lower impact on EOS
than on SOS. Evapotranspiration-altitude interaction predominantly
influences SOS, while precipitation-altitude interaction primarily
drives EOS changes.This study provides a scientific basis for research
on terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycling.