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Enhancing precision in deer population estimates: a comparison of statistical approaches for dung count data
  • Max Hadoke,
  • Rory Putman,
  • Luca Nelli
Max Hadoke
University of Oxford
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Rory Putman
University of Glasgow
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Luca Nelli
University of Glasgow

Corresponding Author:luca.nelli@glasgow.ac.uk

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Abstract

Cost-effective methods, such as dung counts, are widely used for monitoring wildlife population abundances but often yield estimates with low precision and wide confidence intervals. In this study, we assess the impact of different statistical analyses---traditional mathematical approaches, bootstrapping, and Bayesian modelling---on the precision and accuracy of population estimates for red and roe deer on Scotland's west coast. Both bootstrapping and Bayesian modelling reduced estimate uncertainty compared to traditional methods, providing more precise estimates. Bayesian modelling further accounted for the overdispersion characteristic of dung count data, offering a more ecologically robust and statistically sound approach to estimating population densities.
21 Nov 2024Submitted to Wildlife Biology
21 Nov 2024Submission Checks Completed
21 Nov 2024Assigned to Editor
21 Nov 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
21 Nov 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned