Spatial Analysis of Lapwing (Genus: Vanellus) Coexistence in two South
Asian Biodiversity Hotspots: A Machine Learning Approach
Abstract
Environmental factors play a critical role in shaping species
distribution and resource utilization patterns. However, a gap of
knowledge exists in understanding the niche dynamics between the two
species; the ‘Least Concern’-Vanellus duvaucelii (red-wattled lapwing)
and the ‘Near Threatened’-Vanellus indicus (river lapwing), a difference
that could prove critical for long-term conservation efforts. Thus, the
present study aims to examine V.duvaucelii and V. indicus -wattled) in
northeast North-East India. We investigated whether environmental
variables influence their spatial patterns and examined the potential
impact of niche overlap. The research questions of the present study
were: Does environmental factors [1] shape the spatial patterns? and
[2] resource utilization patterns? of V. duvaucelii and V.indicus on
species persistence. Using primary and secondary species occurrence
data, combined with environmental datasets, we modelled suitable
habitats for each species with the Dismo and Wallace packages in R. The
habitat models performed well, yielding high AUC values of 0.987 for V.
indicus and 0.973 for V. duvaucelii. Predicted habitat areas for V.
indicus were 3,254 km² (high potential), 6,217 km² (good potential), and
17,057 km² (moderate potential), totaling 255,088 km². For V.
duvaucelii, these values were 1,955 km², 7,664 km², and 8,645 km²,
respectively, also totaling 255,088 km². Niche overlap, measured with
Schoener’s D, was 0.55, indicating moderate similarity, with 0.07 and
0.04 representing unique niches for V. duvaucelii and V. indicus,
respectively, and 0.96 of the being niches shared. These results
underscore the ecological implications of niche sharing between overlap
species and highlight potential risks for V. duvaucelii, as overlapping
habitats and limited niche exclusivity could increase vulnerability
under rapidly changing environmental conditions. These findings further
highlight the ecological consequences of niche sharing between the
species and point out possible risks for V. duvaucelii, and thus poor
niche separation may increase vulnerability under rapid environmental
change.