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Insights on Stochastic Dynamics for Transmission of Monkeypox: Biological and Probabilistic Behaviour
  • Ghaus Rahman,
  • Olena Tymoshenko,
  • giulia Di Nuuo
Ghaus Rahman
University of Swat
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Olena Tymoshenko
Universitetet i Oslo

Corresponding Author:otymoshenkokpi@gmail.com

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giulia Di Nuuo
Universitetet i Oslo
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Abstract

The transmission of monkeypox is studied using a stochastic model taking into account the biological aspects, the contact mechanisms and the demographic factors together with the intrinsic uncertainties. Our results provide insight into the interaction between stochasticity and biological elements in the dynamics of monkeypox transmission. The rigorous mathematical analysis determines threshold parameters for disease persistence. For the proposed model, the existence of a unique global almost sure non-negative solution is proven. Conditions leading to disease extinction are established. Asymptotic properties of the model are investigated such as the speed of transmission.
26 Aug 2024Submitted to Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
28 Aug 2024Submission Checks Completed
28 Aug 2024Assigned to Editor
04 Sep 2024Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
09 Oct 2024Reviewer(s) Assigned