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Method for estimating the future annual mass of decommissioned wind turbine blade material in Denmark
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  • Asger Bech Abrahamsen,
  • Justine Beauson,
  • Kristine Wilhelm Lund,
  • Erik Skov Madsen,
  • David Philipp Rudolph,
  • Jonas Pagh Jensen
Asger Bech Abrahamsen
Technical University of Denmark

Corresponding Author:asab@dtu.dk

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Justine Beauson
Technical University of Denmark
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Kristine Wilhelm Lund
University of Southern Denmark
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Erik Skov Madsen
University of Southern Denmark
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David Philipp Rudolph
Technical University of Denmark
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Jonas Pagh Jensen
Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy AS
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Abstract

A model of the evolution of the onshore wind turbine blade mass installed in Denmark is proposed described by a Weibull distribution and the age of the blades is estimated from decommissioning data to t50 %,onshore = 29 years when half of the blade mass of an installation year has been decommissioned. This is considerable longer than the 20 year design life time of onshore turbines, which is often assumed to be an estimate of the End-of-Life of turbine blades. Thus blade waste predictions using the simple assumption may predict that installed blade masses are entering recycling processes about 9 years sooner that what is observed in Denmark. The blade mass for decommissioning in Denmark is estimate to peak at 2000 ton/year and 5000 ton/year in 2028 and 2045 using the Weibull model.
16 Jun 20231st Revision Received
19 Jun 2023Submission Checks Completed
19 Jun 2023Assigned to Editor
19 Jun 2023Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
07 Jul 2023Reviewer(s) Assigned
16 Aug 2023Editorial Decision: Revise Minor
18 Sep 20232nd Revision Received
19 Sep 2023Submission Checks Completed
19 Sep 2023Assigned to Editor
19 Sep 2023Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
25 Oct 2023Editorial Decision: Accept