Integrating ecological and social vulnerability assessment on a large
scale -- a case study in Qinghai Province, China
Abstract
Vulnerability assessment has become a critical issue and an important
approach for regional sustainable development. The Qinghai Province,
located in the northeastern part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, suffers a
severe grassland degradation caused by climate change and human
activities. The degradation constrains the development of local animal
husbandry and further affects the vulnerability of social system. In
this study, based on the vulnerability assessment framework of
exposure-sensitivity-adaptability, two index systems were established
including ecological and social aspects. The entropy weight method was
used to determine the index weight. The dynamic changes of the
ecological vulnerability and social vulnerability of Qinghai province
were assessed from 1995 to 2015. Results indicated that ecological
vulnerability in Qinghai province increased from eastern part to the
west, and decreased from northern to southern part, while social
vulnerability showed an opposite trend. Key ecologically fragile areas
were mainly located in the Qaidam Basin and western Three-River
Headwaters Region (TRHR), while key social vulnerability areas were
mainly distributed in the Qilian Mountains and eastern Qinghai province.
The overall ecological vulnerability showed a decreasing trend through
time, but increased in several local areas. Social vulnerability dropped
significantly, especially in the eastern part of Qinghai province. The
results will help to identify key vulnerable areas of Qinghai province
and provide references for the ecological protection and restoration and
the formulation of ecosystem management policies.